@article {pmid40050809,
year = {2025},
author = {Mousavi, A and Ardalan, A and Takian, A and Naddafi, K and Mesdaghinia, A},
title = {A policy context and process analysis to implement the Paris Agreement on climate change in the health system of Iran.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {893},
pmid = {40050809},
issn = {1471-2458},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Iran ; Humans ; *Policy Making ; *Health Policy ; *Qualitative Research ; Interviews as Topic ; Politics ; International Cooperation ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Ensuring public health is crucial in any policy debate on climate change. Paris Agreement on Climate Change is a global contract through which countries have committed themselves to a public health treaty. This study was conducted to identify the challenges that lie ahead for policymakers and provide an evidence-informed framework for policymaking to increase the resilience of Iran's health system to health consequences of climate change.

METHODS: A qualitative study using semi-structured interviews was conducted with 25 experts. Purposeful and snowball sampling techniques were used for data gathering. Thematic content analysis was conducted with a deductive-inductive approach. Leichter's model, the stage's heuristic framework, and Kingdon's models were used for analyzing the context and process analysis respectively. MAXQDA 20 software was used.

RESULTS: A total of four main themes and twelve sub-themes were identified concerning various contextual factors, including political, economic, international, and cultural/social challenges. The primary obstacles to implementing adaptation measures were found to be political considerations, economic sanctions, and the low-risk perception held by both the public and policymakers. Additionally, fifteen themes and forty-eight sub-themes related to the process were identified across several areas: agenda setting, which includes the problem stream, policy stream, and politics stream; policy formulation, encompassing governmental and managerial aspects, research, evidence-informed policymaking, and the role of Non-Governmental Organizations; policy implementation, which covers early warning systems, education, inter-sectoral coordination, architecture and engineering, and integrated databases; and policy evaluation, focusing on inadequate evaluation methods.

CONCLUSIONS: The study identifies key challenges in implementing the Paris Agreement within Iran's health system, categorized into four main themes: political, economic, international, and cultural/social. Political issues stem from the politicization of climate change and national security concerns. Economically, reliance on oil and sanctions hinder progress, while high technology costs strain resources. Internationally, a lack of binding commitments and technological sanctions impede efforts. Culturally, low public awareness and inadequate inter-organizational collaboration limit engagement. The study emphasizes the need for cohesive policies, enhanced public education, and improved coordination among sectors to effectively address climate change impacts on health.},
}

*Climate Change
Iran
Humans
*Policy Making
*Health Policy
*Qualitative Research
Interviews as Topic
Politics
International Cooperation

@article {pmid40050665,
year = {2025},
author = {Shmuel, A and Lazebnik, T and Glickman, O and Heifetz, E and Price, C},
title = {Global lightning-ignited wildfires prediction and climate change projections based on explainable machine learning models.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7898},
pmid = {40050665},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Wildfires pose a significant natural disaster risk to populations and contribute to accelerated climate change. As wildfires are also affected by climate change, extreme wildfires are becoming increasingly frequent. Although they occur less frequently globally than those sparked by human activities, lightning-ignited wildfires play a substantial role in carbon emissions and account for the majority of burned areas in certain regions. While existing computational models, especially those based on machine learning, aim to predict lightning-ignited wildfires, they are typically tailored to specific regions with unique characteristics, limiting their global applicability. In this study, we present machine learning models designed to characterize and predict lightning-ignited wildfires on a global scale. Our approach involves classifying lightning-ignited versus anthropogenic wildfires, and estimating with high accuracy the probability of lightning to ignite a fire based on a wide spectrum of factors such as meteorological conditions and vegetation. Utilizing these models, we analyze seasonal and spatial trends in lightning-ignited wildfires shedding light on the impact of climate change on this phenomenon. We analyze the influence of various features on the models using eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) frameworks. Our findings highlight significant global differences between anthropogenic and lightning-ignited wildfires. Moreover, we demonstrate that, even over a short time span of less than a decade, climate changes have steadily increased the global risk of lightning-ignited wildfires. This distinction underscores the imperative need for dedicated predictive models and fire weather indices tailored specifically to each type of wildfire.},
}

@article {pmid40050659,
year = {2025},
author = {Varma, V and Mosedale, JR and Alvarez, JAG and Bebber, DP},
title = {Socio-economic factors constrain climate change adaptation in a tropical export crop.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40050659},
issn = {2662-1355},
support = {BB/N020847/1//RCUK | Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC)/ ; 727624//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change will alter the geographical locations most suited for crop production, but adaptation to these new conditions may be constrained by edaphic and socio-economic factors. Here we investigate climate change adaptation constraints in banana, a major export crop of Latin America and the Caribbean. We derived optimal climatic, edaphic and socio-economic conditions from the distribution of intensive banana production across Latin America and the Caribbean, identified using remote sensing imagery. We found that intensive banana production is constrained to low-lying, warm aseasonal regions with slightly acidic soils, but is less constrained by precipitation, as irrigation facilitates production in drier regions. Production is limited to areas close to shipping ports and with high human population density. Rising temperatures, coupled with requirements for labour and export infrastructure, will result in a 60% reduction in the area suitable for export banana production, along with yield declines in most current banana producing areas.},
}

@article {pmid40050616,
year = {2025},
author = {Kim, GY and Lee, WH},
title = {Prediction of the spatial distribution of vine weevil under climate change using multiple variable selection methods.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7845},
pmid = {40050616},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Weevils/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Algorithms ; Animal Distribution ; Europe ; North America ; },
abstract = {The vine weevil (Otiorhynchus sulcatus) is a polyphagous pest that affects various economically important crops, but its potential distribution has not been studied. This research developed multiple species distribution models (SDMs) using different variable selection methods, including correlation, biological considerations, and principal component analysis, and integrated them into an ensemble model to predict the pest's distribution under climate change. The MaxEnt algorithm was used to develop the models, showing robust performance with raw bioclimatic variables (TSS 0.34-0.37, F1 score 0.60-0.67), while lower performance and different distribution patterns were observed with reconstructed variables (TSS 0.13, F1 score 0.48). The vine weevil was predicted to be primarily distributed in North America and Europe, with the highest invasion risk in Far East Asia and northern India. Climate change could shift its habitat northward, particularly in areas where it currently occurs, and human activities may help spread the pest to new regions. This study offers a potential distribution map to aid in monitoring and controlling the vine weevil, emphasizing the importance of variable selection methods in predictive modeling.},
}

Animals
*Climate Change
*Weevils/physiology
Ecosystem
Algorithms
Animal Distribution
Europe
North America

@article {pmid40050395,
year = {2025},
author = {Nardi, RU and Mazzini, PLF and Walter, RK},
title = {Climate change and variability drive increasing exposure of marine heatwaves across US estuaries.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7831},
pmid = {40050395},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are among the greatest threats to marine ecosystems, and while substantial advances have been made in oceanic MHWs, little is known about estuarine MHWs. Utilizing a temperature dataset spanning over two decades and 54 stations distributed across 20 estuaries in the United States National Estuarine Research Reserve System, we present a comprehensive analysis of estuarine MHW characteristics and trends. Long-term climate-change-driven warming is driving more frequent MHWs along the East Coast, and if trends continue, this region will be in a MHW state for ~ 1/3 of the year by the end of the century. In contrast, the vast majority of the West Coast showed no trends, highlighting the potential for future thermal refugia. The West Coast was more strongly influenced by climate variability through the enhancement/suppression of MHWs during different phases of climate modes, suggesting long-term predictability potential. These results can provide guidance for management actions and planning in these critical environments.},
}

@article {pmid40050307,
year = {2025},
author = {Jihan, MAT and Popy, S and Kayes, S and Rasul, G and Maowa, AS and Rahman, MM},
title = {Climate change scenario in Bangladesh: historical data analysis and future projection based on CMIP6 model.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7856},
pmid = {40050307},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {During the last two decade, Bangladesh has been experienced a critical climatic anomalies which lead to an increment in enormity and repeat of diverse climate relate extraordinary events. Climate analysts substantiate that around the world temperature and precipitation plan is expected to change, which may result in significant influence on cultivation, work, and organic framework. Bangladesh is subsequently likely to confront critical challenges within the coming decades. In orchestrate to sufficient get it this complex, lively wonders, Analyzing chronicled Climate modify scenarios as well as anticipating its future designs may be a exceptional concern for examiner. This consider focuses to analyzes irrefutable climatic data from (1901-2020), and expect future temperature and precipitation plans in Bangladesh utilizing CMIP6 data. The data utilized in this think-around (Observed data is from CRU TS 4.05 and future data is from CMIP6) have been obtained from WorldClim v2.1. Distinctive techniques tallying relationship, relapse, standard deviation, relationship system, percentiles, cell bits of knowledge, and IDW presentation were performed to analyze the designs, changeability and spatial plans of temperature and precipitation. This think around revealed that Over the irrefutable consider period (1901-2020) Bangladesh has been experienced a vital warming drift with an normal increase in temperature 2 °C and with annually decay of the in general precipitation 607.26 mm adjacent to a move towards drier conditions in show disdain toward of frail relationship with more smoking a long time. Projected climate models talks to that Bangladesh slightest temperature is expected to expand from 1 °C to 4.4 °C as well as most extreme temperatures from 1 °C to 4.1 °C by 2100. In expansion, anticipated precipitation is expected to amplify by 480.38 mm, with the most prominent rises amid storm months. Regional assortments in temperature and precipitation are once more expected, with the Southeast (SE) likely experiencing the first vital warming and the Northeast (NE) seeing the preeminent critical increase in precipitation. In this study highlights the significant impacts of climate change on vulnerable communities in Bangladesh's southwestern coastal region, emphasizing the need for targeted adaptation strategies, local knowledge integration, and proactive national and global level policies to address and manage climate-related challenges.},
}

@article {pmid40048518,
year = {2025},
author = {Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J and Díaz, S and Rifai, SW and Corral-Rivas, JJ and Nava-Miranda, MG and González-M, R and Hurtado-M, AB and Revilla, NS and Vilanova, E and Almeida, E and de Oliveira, EA and Alvarez-Davila, E and Alves, LF and de Andrade, ACS and Lola da Costa, AC and Vieira, SA and Aragão, L and Arets, E and Aymard C, GA and Baccaro, F and Bakker, YV and Baker, TR and Bánki, O and Baraloto, C and de Camargo, PB and Berenguer, E and Blanc, L and Bonal, D and Bongers, F and Bordin, KM and Brienen, R and Brown, F and Prestes, NCCS and Castilho, CV and Ribeiro, SC and de Souza, FC and Comiskey, JA and Valverde, FC and Müller, SC and da Costa Silva, R and do Vale, JD and de Andrade Kamimura, V and de Oliveira Perdiz, R and Del Aguila Pasquel, J and Derroire, G and Di Fiore, A and Disney, M and Farfan-Rios, W and Fauset, S and Feldpausch, TR and Ramos, RF and Llampazo, GF and Martins, VF and Fortunel, C and Cabrera, KG and Barroso, JG and Hérault, B and Herrera, R and Honorio Coronado, EN and Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, I and Pipoly, JJ and Zanini, KJ and Jiménez, E and Joly, CA and Kalamandeen, M and Klipel, J and Levesley, A and Oviedo, WL and Magnusson, WE and Dos Santos, RM and Marimon, BS and Marimon-Junior, BH and de Almeida Reis, SM and Melo Cruz, OA and Mendoza, AM and Morandi, P and Muscarella, R and Nascimento, H and Neill, DA and Menor, IO and Palacios, WA and Palacios-Ramos, S and Pallqui Camacho, NC and Pardo, G and Pennington, RT and de Oliveira Pereira, L and Pickavance, G and Picolotto, RC and Pitman, NCA and Prieto, A and Quesada, C and Ramírez-Angulo, H and Réjou-Méchain, M and Correa, ZR and Reyna Huaymacari, JM and Rodriguez, CR and Rivas-Torres, G and Roopsind, A and Rudas, A and Salgado Negret, B and van der Sande, MT and Santana, FD and Maës Santos, FA and Bergamin, RS and Silman, MR and Silva, C and Espejo, JS and Silveira, M and Souza, FC and Sullivan, MJP and Swamy, V and Talbot, J and Terborgh, JJ and van der Meer, PJ and van der Heijden, G and van Ulft, B and Martinez, RV and Vedovato, L and Vleminckx, J and Vos, VA and Wortel, V and Zuidema, PA and Zwerts, JA and Laurance, SGW and Laurance, WF and Chave, J and Dalling, JW and Barlow, J and Poorter, L and Enquist, BJ and Ter Steege, H and Phillips, OL and Galbraith, D and Malhi, Y},
title = {Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {387},
number = {6738},
pages = {eadl5414},
doi = {10.1126/science.adl5414},
pmid = {40048518},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Tropical Climate ; *Forests ; *Biodiversity ; Trees ; Americas ; },
abstract = {Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.},
}

*Climate Change
*Tropical Climate
*Forests
*Biodiversity
Trees
Americas

@article {pmid40044953,
year = {2025},
author = {Kargbo, A and Dafka, S and Osman, AM and Koua, HK and Vieira, RFC and Rocklöv, J},
title = {Impact of climate change and variability on the occurrence and distribution of Trypanosoma vectors in The Gambia.},
journal = {Parasitology research},
volume = {124},
number = {3},
pages = {29},
pmid = {40044953},
issn = {1432-1955},
support = {002019//West African Service Centre of Climate Change and Adapted Land-Use Scholarship program funded by the German Federal Ministry for Education and Research, WASCAL-Graduate Research Program in Climate Change/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; Gambia/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; *Humidity ; *Temperature ; Insect Vectors/parasitology/physiology/classification ; Trypanosoma/classification ; Tsetse Flies/parasitology/physiology ; },
abstract = {Extreme weather events can lead to infectious disease outbreaks, especially those spread by hematophagous flies, and The Gambia is particularly vulnerable to climate change. To the best of our knowledge, no one has ever documented the relationship between climate variability and change and the distribution of the hematophagous flies belonging to the families Glossinidae, Tabanidae, and Stomoxyinae. This paper aims to study the association of temperature and humidity on the distribution of the above species and their families in The Gambia in the recent past and to provide predictions of species abundance and occurrence in the future. A line transect survey was carried out in all the administrative regions of The Gambia to study the prevalence of the flies. Generalized additive models were used to analyze the relationships between the distribution of the insects and their families and the variability in climate conditions in the recent past and in three different future periods. Regarding the recent past, our results show that temperature has significantly impacted the presence of Glossinidae and Tabanidae species, with maximum temperature being the most important factor. Relative humidity was also statistically significantly associated with Tabanidae species. None of the climate variables was found to be associated with the Tabanus par and Tabanus sufis. Minimum temperature and relative humidity were statistically significantly associated with Glossina morsitan submorsitan, while maximum temperature was statistically significantly associated with Atylotus agrestis and Stomoxys calcitrans. Only relative humidity was statistically significantly associated with the Glossina palpalis gambiense. As for the future projections, the results show that rising temperatures impacted the distribution of Tabanus species, Glossina species, and Stomoxys calcitrans in The Gambia. The distribution of Trypanosoma vectors in The Gambia is mostly influenced by maximum temperature. The research's conclusions gave climate and public health policymakers crucial information to take into account.},
}

Animals
Gambia/epidemiology
*Climate Change
*Humidity
*Temperature
Insect Vectors/parasitology/physiology/classification
Trypanosoma/classification
Tsetse Flies/parasitology/physiology

@article {pmid40044855,
year = {2025},
author = {Pottier, P and Kearney, MR and Wu, NC and Gunderson, AR and Rej, JE and Rivera-Villanueva, AN and Pollo, P and Burke, S and Drobniak, SM and Nakagawa, S},
title = {Vulnerability of amphibians to global warming.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40044855},
issn = {1476-4687},
abstract = {Amphibians are the most threatened vertebrates, yet their resilience to rising temperatures remains poorly understood[1,2]. This is primarily because knowledge of thermal tolerance is taxonomically and geographically biased[3], compromising global climate vulnerability assessments. Here we used a phylogenetically informed data-imputation approach to predict the heat tolerance of 60% of amphibian species and assessed their vulnerability to daily temperature variations in thermal refugia. We found that 104 out of 5,203 species (2%) are currently exposed to overheating events in shaded terrestrial conditions. Despite accounting for heat-tolerance plasticity, a 4 °C global temperature increase would create a step change in impact severity, pushing 7.5% of species beyond their physiological limits. In the Southern Hemisphere, tropical species encounter disproportionally more overheating events, while non-tropical species are more susceptible in the Northern Hemisphere. These findings challenge evidence for a general latitudinal gradient in overheating risk[4-6] and underscore the importance of considering climatic variability in vulnerability assessments. We provide conservative estimates assuming access to cool shaded microenvironments. Thus, the impacts of global warming will probably exceed our projections. Our microclimate-explicit analyses demonstrate that vegetation and water bodies are critical in buffering amphibians during heat waves. Immediate action is needed to preserve and manage these microhabitat features.},
}

@article {pmid40043656,
year = {2025},
author = {Marroquin, I and Oh, H and Ghosh, T and Hu, Z and Salehi, S and Nygaard, R},
title = {Dynamic life cycle assessment for evaluating the global warming potential of geothermal energy production using inactive oil and gas wells for district heating in Tuttle, Oklahoma.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {970},
number = {},
pages = {178932},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178932},
pmid = {40043656},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Repurposing abandoned oil and gas infrastructure for geothermal energy production has great potential to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This study quantified the life cycle global warming potential of geothermal energy production using four inactive oil and gas wells repurposed for district heating in Tuttle, Oklahoma. A cradle-to-grave prospective life cycle assessment was performed to compare GHG emissions between the geothermal district heating system and conventional natural gas-fired heating system from 2020 to 2050. For initial implementation of the geothermal system, we investigated two approaches: 1) repurposing abandoned infrastructure from a nearby oil and gas well site, and 2) production and injection well drillings including new construction of a central heat exchange station. Environmental impacts from the geothermal system were estimated for five scenarios where a natural gas peaking boiler is incorporated to supply peak heat demand. The prospective results indicated that cumulative reduction in GHG emissions from transitioning to the geothermal district heating system increase over time as a function of future renewable resource penetration and technological advancements within electricity, fuel, and steel production. Over 30 years, the global warming potential associated with the district heating demand will have been reduced by up to 24 % with the repurposed system. These results imply that repurposing existing oil and gas infrastructure for geothermal energy systems of district heating will bring future climate benefits.},
}

@article {pmid40043580,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, Y and Liu, Y and Yu, S and Xing, B and Xu, X and Yu, H and Wang, L and Wang, D and Liu, C and Yu, D},
title = {Vigilance against climate change-induced regime shifts for phosphorus restoration in shallow lake ecosystems.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {278},
number = {},
pages = {123397},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2025.123397},
pmid = {40043580},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {The dual pressure of anthropogenic activities and frequent extreme weather events has triggered a transition from macrophyte to algal dominance in shallow lakes. Phosphorus (P) is the key driver of regime shifts that can lead to a decline in the stability and resilience of lake ecosystems. However, the mechanisms underlying such regime shifts, and the effects of state transitions on internal P loading during macrophyte restoration in large shallow eutrophic lakes, remain to be fully elucidated. This study utilised long-term in situ monitoring data, across three distinct lake states (bare ground, macrophyte-dominated stage, and algae-dominated stage) to elucidate the accumulation and release mechanisms of sedimentary P during regime shifts. The findings demonstrated that the rehabilitation of submerged plants efficiently reduced internal P loading (water column P, sediment P fractions, and P flux), while the persistence of algal blooms was driven by the reductive release of Fe-P from sediments and the dissolution of Al-P from suspended particulate matter. High temperature, low dissolved oxygen, and high pH largely modulate the pathways and mechanisms of P supply during regime shifts. The combined pressures of extreme weather (heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extreme heat) and trophic cascades from fish stocking can trigger a shift from macrophytes to algae in shallow lakes. Appropriate management of the structure and biomass of aquatic animal communities (e.g., small-bodied or omnibenthivorous fish) and optimization of the food web structure can effectively improve water quality and maintain ecosystem stability. These findings enrich the theoretical understanding of regime-shift mechanisms from an ecosystem perspective and offer novel insights into P remediation in large shallow eutrophic lakes.},
}

@article {pmid40043133,
year = {2025},
author = {Cai, Z and You, Q and Screen, JA and Chen, HW and Zhang, R and Zuo, Z and Chen, D and Cohen, J and Kang, S and Zhang, R},
title = {Lessened projections of Arctic warming and wetting after correcting for model errors in global warming and sea ice cover.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {10},
pages = {eadr6413},
pmid = {40043133},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {Credible projections of Arctic warming and wetting (AWW) are essential for informed decision-making in a changing climate. However, current AWW projections from state-of-the-art climate models carry uncertainties. Using observational datasets and CMIP6 model simulations, we demonstrate that the observed historical global warming trend and the climatological mean pattern of Arctic sea ice can serve as effective constraints on AWW projections. Under SSP2-4.5, the constrained warming by the end of the century is reduced from 5.5° to 4.6°C. Similarly, the projected wetting decreases from 6.8 to 5.7 millimeter per month. The inter-model spread in warming and wetting is reduced by 25 and 15%, respectively. The reduction is the largest in the Barents-Kara seas, reducing warming by 1.2°C, lessening wetting by 1.7 millimeter per month, and decreasing the inter-model spread by one-third. Our findings suggest that unconstrained CMIP6 projections overestimate future AWW, particularly in the Barents-Kara seas, due to an overestimation of historical global warming and excessive sea ice in the models.},
}

@article {pmid40042412,
year = {2025},
author = {Hicks, LC and Leizeaga, A and Cruz Paredes, C and Brangarí, AC and Tájmel, D and Wondie, M and Sandén, H and Rousk, J},
title = {Simulated Climate Change Enhances Microbial Drought Resilience in Ethiopian Croplands but Not Forests.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {3},
pages = {e70065},
pmid = {40042412},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2016-06327//Vetenskapsrådet/ ; 2020-03858//Vetenskapsrådet/ ; CTS 22:2131//Carl Tryggers Stiftelse för Vetenskaplig Forskning/ ; 2022-00672//Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas/ ; 2023-02438//Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas/ ; KAW 2022.0175//Knut och Alice Wallenbergs Stiftelse/ ; KAW 2023.0384//Knut och Alice Wallenbergs Stiftelse/ ; },
mesh = {*Droughts ; Ethiopia ; *Climate Change ; *Soil Microbiology ; *Forests ; Soil/chemistry ; Fungi/physiology ; Bacteria ; Microbiota ; Crops, Agricultural/growth & development ; Rain ; },
abstract = {Climate change and land-use change represent a dual threat to terrestrial ecosystem functioning. In the tropics, forest conversion to agriculture is occurring alongside warming and more pronounced periods of drought. Rainfall after drought induces enormous dynamics in microbial growth (potential soil carbon storage) and respiration (determining carbon loss), affecting the ecosystem carbon budget. We investigated how legacies of drought and warming affected microbial functional (growth and respiration) and structural (16S and ITS amplicon) responses after drought. Rain shelters and open-top chambers (OTCs) were used to simulate drought and warming in tropical cropland and forest sites in Ethiopia. Rain shelters reduced soil moisture by up to 25 vol%, with a bigger effect in the forest, while OTCs increased soil temperature by up to 6°C in the cropland and also reduced soil moisture but had no clear effect in the forest. Soils from these field treatments were then exposed to a standardized drought cycle to test how microbial community traits had been shaped by the different climate legacies. Microbial growth started increasing immediately after rewetting in all soils, reflecting a resilient response and indicating that microbial communities perceived the perturbation as relatively mild. Fungi recovered faster than bacteria, and the recovery of fungal growth was generally accelerated in soils with a legacy of drought. Microbial community functions and structures were both more responsive in the cropland than in forest soils, and a legacy of drought particularly enhanced microbial growth and respiration responses in the cropland but not the forest. Microbial communities in cropland soils also used carbon with a higher efficiency after rewetting. Together, these results suggest contrasting feedbacks to climate change determined by land use, where croplands will be associated with mitigated losses of soil carbon by microorganisms in response to future cycles of drought, compared to forests where soil carbon reservoirs remain more sensitive.},
}

*Droughts
Ethiopia
*Climate Change
*Soil Microbiology
*Forests
Soil/chemistry
Fungi/physiology
Bacteria
Microbiota
Crops, Agricultural/growth & development
Rain

@article {pmid40041730,
year = {2024},
author = {Sadeghi, MR and Ghannadi, P and Lotfi, A and Ashayeri, H},
title = {Climate change's impact on the nervous system: A review study.},
journal = {Health promotion perspectives},
volume = {14},
number = {4},
pages = {336-342},
pmid = {40041730},
issn = {2228-6497},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global warming is caused by increased carbon dioxide and other industrial gases, which shift the climate of human habitat and environment, impacting human health globally. In this review, we tried to overview the current knowledge of climate change's impact on neurological disease.

METHODS: A comprehensive search on PubMed, Web of Science (WOS), and Scopus was conducted to find the relevant original studies. Language, sex, age, date, or country of study were not restricted. Included studies report increased Alzheimer's disease mortality and hospital admission.

RESULTS: This increase was seen from the first day with high temperature to 3-4 days later. Parkinson's disease (PD) subjects were more vulnerable to high temperatures compared to dementia patients (RR for dementia: 1.29 and for PD: 1.41). Global warming was linked to the increase in the incidence of Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) (from 0.1% to 5.4%), Japanese encephalitis (OR: 2 when floods occur), and ciguatera fish poisoning (CFP) (RR: 1.62 for each 1 [◦]C increase per month).

CONCLUSION: Health-related consequences of climate change are inevitable. The burden of medical problems related to the elderly population (especially the elderly with dementia), infectious diseases, and CFP on the healthcare system will naturally increase. Studying global warming trends could empower us with more precise predictions of the future and better planning to face climate change-related challenges.},
}

@article {pmid40041161,
year = {2025},
author = {Romanovsky, AA},
title = {Global warming, Arctic exploration, and imprisonment of political opponents: Temperature is ubiquitous.},
journal = {Temperature (Austin, Tex.)},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {1-3},
pmid = {40041161},
issn = {2332-8940},
}

@article {pmid40040447,
year = {2025},
author = {Paintsil, E},
title = {Synchronicity of climate change and outbreaks of infectious diseases in children.},
journal = {Current opinion in pediatrics},
volume = {37},
number = {2},
pages = {113-115},
doi = {10.1097/MOP.0000000000001443},
pmid = {40040447},
issn = {1531-698X},
}

@article {pmid40039338,
year = {2024},
author = {Cala, F and Tarchi, P and Frassineti, L and Gursesli, MC and Guazzini, A and Lanata, A},
title = {Expectancy Violation: Climate Change Associations May Reveal Underlying Brain-Evoked Responses of Implicit Attitudes.},
journal = {Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. Annual International Conference},
volume = {2024},
number = {},
pages = {1-4},
doi = {10.1109/EMBC53108.2024.10781635},
pmid = {40039338},
issn = {2694-0604},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Evoked Potentials/physiology ; Male ; *Electroencephalography ; Female ; *Brain/physiology ; Adult ; *Attitude ; Young Adult ; },
abstract = {The development of programs and campaigns to promote climate change awareness and actions should account for implicit attitudes to make them effective. Alongside behavioural measures, it is important to investigate and understand the neural mechanisms underlying unconscious beliefs, and opinions and how external factors can influence them. Therefore, this study administered a Single-Category Implicit Association Test to 22 healthy volunteers while acquiring EEG signals. After an automatic preprocessing pipeline was applied, 1000ms-long epochs were extracted from cleaned EEG data for target words only. Latencies and amplitudes were computed in specific brain regions and time intervals for the P1, N1, P2 (both occipital and frontal), P3, and N4 (both frontal and frontocentral) event-related potentials (ERPs). Statistical analysis has highlighted that incongruent associations elicited significantly shorter N1 latencies, which may be due to stimuli familiarisation, longer P3 latencies, which can be related to the allocation of more attentional resources, and larger N4 amplitudes, which suggest greater cognitive efforts. Correlation analysis has also found a significant relationship between the amplitude of the N4 and explicit behaviour. These results suggest that ERPs can highlight different mental processes involved in violating social expectations towards climate change and that their features may be used to support behavioural measures in assessing implicit attitudes more reliably.},
}

Humans
*Climate Change
*Evoked Potentials/physiology
Male
*Electroencephalography
Female
*Brain/physiology
Adult
*Attitude
Young Adult

@article {pmid40038529,
year = {2025},
author = {Heikonen, S and Heino, M and Jalava, M and Siebert, S and Viviroli, D and Kummu, M},
title = {Climate change threatens crop diversity at low latitudes.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40038529},
issn = {2662-1355},
support = {339834//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 339834//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 339834//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 339834//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 819202//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)/ ; 819202//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)/ ; 819202//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)/ ; 450058266//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; 365512//Suomen Akatemia | Strategic Research Council (Strategisen Tutkimuksen Neuvosto)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change alters the climatic suitability of croplands, likely shifting the spatial distribution and diversity of global food crop production. Analyses of future potential food crop diversity have been limited to a small number of crops. Here we project geographical shifts in the climatic niches of 30 major food crops under 1.5-4 °C global warming and assess their impact on current crop production and potential food crop diversity across global croplands. We found that in low-latitude regions, 10-31% of current production would shift outside the climatic niche even under 2 °C global warming, increasing to 20-48% under 3 °C warming. Concurrently, potential food crop diversity would decline on 52% (+2 °C) and 56% (+3 °C) of global cropland. However, potential diversity would increase in mid to high latitudes, offering opportunities for climate change adaptation. These results highlight substantial latitudinal differences in the adaptation potential and vulnerability of the global food system under global warming.},
}

@article {pmid40038383,
year = {2025},
author = {Kamel, BK and Abdelaziz, AY and Attia, MA and Khamees, AK},
title = {A novel approach to wind energy modeling in the context of climate change at Zaafrana region in Egypt.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7548},
pmid = {40038383},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Global warming, driven by the excessive emission of greenhouse gases from the combustion of fossil fuels, has emerged as a critical environmental challenge which is considered as a motivation for this research. Where, the switch to sustainable energy sources is crucial because of the pressing need to slow down climate change and lower carbon footprints. Of all the renewable energy sources, wind energy is particularly important as a means of reducing carbon emissions from the generation of electricity. With the increase in the penetration of renewable energy resources in electrical power systems, the stochastic behavior of the renewable energy resources has to be taken into account for better analysis in power systems. However, the stochastic behavior of the renewable energy is also affected by the environmental conditions. In this context, The main objective of this paper is to present a novel wind energy modeling that includes the effect of ambient temperature on the wind turbine capabilities. This effect is presented as the de-rating curve for wind turbine output power to respect the thermal capabilities of the electrical components of the wind turbine. That's why this novel model is developed to consider the effect of ambient temperature to represent the practical limitations of wind turbines which wasn't considered by previous literature although the temperature has a siginicant impact on the wind turbine output power. In this Paper, Gamesa G80 wind turbine is used to perform the numerical analysis of the proposed new model. Moreover, Exponential Distribution Optimizer (EDO), Aquila Optimizer (AO), and Equilibrium Optimizer (EO) algorithms are used to find various probability distribution functions (PDFs) parameters to model wind speed data from Zaafrana region in Egypt using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Coefficient of Correlation (R^2) as judging criteria. In addition, real temperature data from the same site are used to validate the proposed model compared to the manufacturer's capabilities. The results show that mixed PDFs provide a better representation for the wind speed data. Moreover, the study demonstrates that ambient temperature cannot be neglected in wind power modeling, as the wind turbine output power varies significantly. Additionally, this work highlights the impact of climate change on the efficiency of renewable energy sources like the wind energy. The proposed wind energy model could be valuable to system operators as a decision-making aid when dealing with and analyzing complex power systems.},
}

@article {pmid40037784,
year = {2025},
author = {Abdel-Dayem, MS and Al Dhafer, HM and Soliman, AM and Al Ansi, AN and El-Sonbati, SA and Ishag, AAE and Mohamed, A and Soliman, M},
title = {Climate change and geographical distribution projections for major leaf beetles (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) in Saudi Arabia.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toaf046},
pmid = {40037784},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {2-17-01-001-0013//MAARIFAH/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has a substantial impact on the quality and diversity of insect pests, which may have adverse ecological and economic effects. The family Chrysomelidae represents one of the most economically and ecologically important groups within Coleoptera, with species acting as agricultural pests and contributing substantially to biodiversity in arid regions. Based on bioclimatic, topographic, and vegetation data, the current and future distributions of 4 chrysomelids (Caryedon acaciae (Gyllenhal, 1833), Chaetocnema pulla Chapuis, 1879, Phyllotreta cheiranthi Weise, 1903, and Spermophagus sericeus (Geoffroy, 1785)) in Saudi Arabia were predicted using MaxEnt modeling for 2050 under 2 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), SSP126 (low emission) and SSP585 (high emission) scenarios. The leaf beetle models showed strong performance, with average area under the curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.86 to 0.96 and average TSS values ranging from 0.52 to 0.65. Five predictors were chosen for each species from 21 environmental variables. The results show that the key ecological factors that influence species distributions varied, with vegetation being the most influential. According to habitat suitability maps, in the future, such distribution will be severely altered, mostly by climate change. More precisely, C. acaciae will face minor range shifts, while C. pulla, P. cheiranthi, and S. sericeus will expand their ranges substantially, especially in the Eastern Province. Our results confirm the importance of implementing adaptive pest-management strategies to address the potential range expansions of various agricultural pests, which could intensify local ecological challenges and pose a heightened threat to agricultural systems.},
}

@article {pmid40037476,
year = {2025},
author = {Sripa, B and Yurlova, N and Suwannatrai, AT and Serbina, E and Tangkawattana, S and Sayasone, S and Varnakovida, P},
title = {Potential impact of climate change on Opisthorchis viverrini and Opisthorchis felineus transmission in Eurasia.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {263},
number = {},
pages = {107574},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2025.107574},
pmid = {40037476},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {Human liver flukes of the family Opisthorchiidae, particularly Opisthorchis viverrini and Opisthorchis felineus, are major foodborne trematode parasites endemic to the Lower Mekong River Basin (Southeast Asia) and the Ob-Irtysh Basins (southern Western Siberia, Russian Federation), respectively. Together, these parasites infect over 14 million people, with an estimated 300 million at risk. Their transmission cycles involve Bithynia snails and Cyprinidae fish as first and second intermediate hosts, respectively, with humans and other fish-eating mammals serving as definitive hosts. The geographical distribution of these flukes is shaped by specific Bithynia species: B. siamensis, B. s. goniomphalos, and B. funiculata for O. viverrini, and B. troschelii, B. leachi, and B. inflata for O. felineus. Climate change directly influences liver fluke transmission by affecting parasite survival, host biology, and environmental conditions. Bithynia snails are highly temperature-sensitive, and O. viverrini transmission is notably temperature-dependent, with a 1 °C increase raising infection odds by 5.4 %. Temperatures exceeding 30 °C reduce cercarial survival and infectivity. In Western Siberia, favorable water temperatures for O. felineus transmission start at +15 °C, with higher temperatures leading to an increased infection rate in snails while permafrost regions lack Bithynia snails entirely. Projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) indicate that warming will exceed the global average in northern Asia (affecting O. felineus) and approach the global average in Southeast Asia (impacting O. viverrini). These trends suggest that climate change may have a more pronounced impact on O. felineus transmission in Siberia than on O. viverrini transmission in Southeast Asia. This review provides an in-depth discussion of Bithynia biology and the effects of temperature on snail growth, cercarial release, survival, infection, and aestivation, emphasizing how global warming could influence the transmission dynamics of these liver flukes.},
}

@article {pmid40037109,
year = {2025},
author = {Feng, F and Du, F and Li, Q and Zhang, L and Yu, X and Liu, C},
title = {Understanding the ternary interaction of crop plants, fungal pathogens, and rhizobacteria in response to global warming.},
journal = {Microbiological research},
volume = {296},
number = {},
pages = {128113},
doi = {10.1016/j.micres.2025.128113},
pmid = {40037109},
issn = {1618-0623},
abstract = {Climate change is altering the equilibrium of the Earth's biosphere, imposing unpredictable survival dynamics on terrestrial organisms. This includes the intricate interactions between fungal pathogens and crop plants, which are pivotal for global food security. Rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate the prevalence of crop-pathogenic fungi worldwide, yet research on how crops respond to this imminent threat remains limited. Here, we identified predominant potential pathogens and antagonistic bacteria in vegetable fields in Shandong Province, China, revealing the near-ubiquitous presence of Fusarium oxysporum and Bacillus species in sampled soils of cucumber, tomato, chili, and ginger. Through simulated warming experiments within a temperature range of 20-40 °C and an experimental period of 3 days, we investigated the ternary interaction among vegetables and isolated F. oxysporum strain 05, and Bacillus sp. strain 31. Elevated temperatures enhanced F. oxysporum biomass and virulence, yet also stimulated vegetables to allocate more nutrients via root exudates. This enriched rhizospheric antagonistic Bacillus populations, it also boosted the expression of antifungal lipopeptide biosynthetic genes (bamb and ItuA) and auxin production in Bacillus sp. strain 31. This enrichment promoted plant growth and maintained a relatively stable level of pathogenic fungi. Our study unveiled a nuanced and complex interplay among crop plants, fungal pathogens, and rhizobacteria, that could inform future agricultural practices, and advance our understanding of crop survival strategies to bolster crop resilience and safeguard global food security under ongoing climate change.},
}

@article {pmid40036180,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, C and Wang, C and Yang, X and Wang, D and Wang, F},
title = {Modeling the potential global distribution of the invasive Jack Beardsley mealybug (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toaf029},
pmid = {40036180},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {BJ2020052//Science and Technology Project of Hebei Education Department/ ; },
abstract = {The Jack Beardsley mealybug, Pseudococcus jackbeardsleyi Gimpel & Miller (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae), is a dangerous invasive pest that feeds on plants more than 115 genera from 54 families, and has spread over 59 countries or regions, often causing direct and indirect damage to host plants, and resulting in significant economic losses. In this study, we assessed the potential global distribution of P. jackbeardsleyi using a Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model under current and future climate scenarios. Here, we obtained prediction models with high credibility and accuracy, which showed that isothermality (Bio 3) and annual precipitation (Bio 12) were the environmental variables with the largest contribution on the potential distribution of this pest. The potential distribution areas predicted by this study were mainly located in South America, Central Africa, the southern regions of Asia and the eastern coast of Australia. Under future climate scenarios, the total geographical distribution of this pest will contract to varying degrees by the end of this century, but the highly suitable areas will increase. This study provides a reference for the development of control strategies, but also offers a scientific basis for the effective biological control of this pest.},
}

@article {pmid40035376,
year = {2025},
author = {Alibudbud, RC and Aruta, JJBR and Sison, KA and Guinto, RR},
title = {Artificial intelligence in the era of planetary health: insights on its application for the climate change-mental health nexus in the Philippines.},
journal = {International review of psychiatry (Abingdon, England)},
volume = {37},
number = {1},
pages = {21-32},
doi = {10.1080/09540261.2024.2363373},
pmid = {40035376},
issn = {1369-1627},
mesh = {Humans ; *Artificial Intelligence ; Philippines ; *Climate Change ; *Mental Health Services/organization & administration ; *Mental Health ; },
abstract = {This review explores the transformative potential of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the light of evolving threats to planetary health, particularly the dangers posed by the climate crisis and its emerging mental health impacts, in the context of a climate-vulnerable country such as the Philippines. This paper describes the country's mental health system, outlines the chronic systemic challenges that it faces, and discusses the intensifying and widening impacts of climate change on mental health. Integrated mental healthcare must be part of the climate adaptation response, particularly for vulnerable populations. AI holds promise for mental healthcare in the Philippines, and be a tool that can potentially aid in addressing the shortage of mental health professionals, improve service accessibility, and provide direct services in climate-affected communities. However, the incorporation of AI into mental healthcare also presents significant challenges, such as potentially worsening the existing mental health inequities due to unequal access to resources and technologies, data privacy concerns, and potential AI algorithm biases. It is crucial to approach AI integration with ethical consideration and responsible implementation to harness its benefits, mitigate potential risks, and ensure inclusivity in mental healthcare delivery, especially in the era of a warming planet.},
}

Humans
*Artificial Intelligence
Philippines
*Climate Change
*Mental Health Services/organization & administration
*Mental Health

@article {pmid40034780,
year = {2025},
author = {Saunders, MJ and Boccia, D and Khan, PY and Goscè, L and Gasparrini, A and Clark, RA and Pescarini, JM and White, RG and Houben, RM and Zignol, M and Gebreselassie, N and Finn McQuaid, C},
title = {Climate change and tuberculosis: an analytical framework.},
journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2025.02.18.25322451},
pmid = {40034780},
abstract = {Climate change is likely to exacerbate a range of determinants which drive tuberculosis, the world's leading infectious disease killer. However, tuberculosis is often neglected in wider climate health discussions. Commissioned by the World Health Organization, we developed an analytical framework outlining potential causal relationships between climate change and tuberculosis. We drew on existing knowledge of tuberculosis determinants, identified which are likely to be sensitive to the effects of climate change, and conceptualised the mechanistic pathways through which this might occur. We collated evidence for these pathways through literature reviews. Our reviews found no studies directly linking climate change and tuberculosis, warranting research to build evidence for action. The available evidence supports the existence of plausible links between climate change and tuberculosis, and highlights the need to include tuberculosis in climate risk adaptation and mitigation programmes, and climate-resilient funding and response mechanisms. Further evidence is urgently needed to quantify the effects of climate change on tuberculosis.},
}

@article {pmid40034663,
year = {2025},
author = {Ames-Martínez, FN and Capcha Romero, I and Guerra, A and Inga Guillen, JG and Quispe-Melgar, HR and Galeano, E and Rodríguez-Ramírez, EC},
title = {Climate change and tree cover loss affect the habitat suitability of Cedrela angustifolia: evaluating climate vulnerability and conservation in Andean montane forests.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {e18799},
pmid = {40034663},
issn = {2167-8359},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Cedrela ; *Ecosystem ; *Forests ; South America ; Trees/growth & development ; Endangered Species ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Because of illegal logging, habitat fragmentation, and high value timber Andean montane forest Cedrela species (such as Cedrela angustifolia), is endangered in Central and South America. Studying the effects of climate change and tree cover loss on the distribution of C. angustifolia will help us to understand the climatic and ecological sensitivity of this species and suggest conservation and restoration strategies.

METHODS: Using ecological niche modeling with two algorithms (maximum entropy (MaxEnt) and Random Forest) under the ecological niche conservatism approach, we generated 16,920 models with different combinations of variables and parameters. We identified suitable areas for C. angustifolia trees under present and future climate scenarios (2040, 2070, and 2100 with SSP 3-7.0 and SSP 5-8.5), tree cover loss, and variables linked to soil and topography.

RESULTS: Our results demonstrated 10 environmental variables with high percentage contributions and permutation importance; for example, precipitation seasonality exhibited the highest contribution to the current and future distribution of Cedrela angustifolia. The potential present distribution was estimated as 13,080 km[2]with tree cover loss and 16,148.5 km[2]without tree cover loss. From 2040 to 2100 the species distribution will decrease (from 22.16% to 36.88% with tree cover loss variation). The results indicated that Bolivia displayed higher habitat suitability than Ecuador, Peru, and Argentina. Finally, we recommend developing conservation management strategies that consider both protected and unprotected areas as well as the impact of land-use changes to improve the persistence of C. angustifolia in the future.},
}

*Climate Change
*Conservation of Natural Resources
*Cedrela
*Ecosystem
*Forests
South America
Trees/growth & development
Endangered Species

@article {pmid40034425,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, Y and Shi, X and Du, H and Jiang, M and Li, F and Wang, J and Zhang, X},
title = {Spatiotemporal Distribution of Wine Grape Under Climate Change in Northwestern China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {e70826},
pmid = {40034425},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The favorable terroir of China's northwest region provides an ideal environment for the cultivation and thriving growth of grapes. However, climate change threatens to alter the optimal grape-growing regions, presenting considerable challenges to the local wine making industry. To enhance the utilization of regional climate resources and refine the wine grape industry's spatial distribution, this study assessed the performance of nine climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in Northwestern China, simulated the future spatiotemporal distribution of wine grape. Results showed that EC-Earth3 performed well in simulating temperature, precipitation, and interannual changes. Under the historical periods (1980-2014), the highly suitable areas for wine grapes were predominantly found in the eastern foothills of Helan Mountain in Ningxia, along the Yellow River in Wuhai and Linhe of Inner Mongolia, along the Qilian Mountains in Wuwei, Zhangye and Jiayuguan of Gansu, and along rivers and oases in the northern foothills of Tianshan Mountains, Ili River Valley, Tuha Basin, Yanqi Basin, Aksu, Muzart, and Kashgar of Xinjiang. Compared with historical periods, the highly and moderately suitable areas were expected to expand under SSP245 and SSP585. Nevertheless, the overall pattern of spatial distribution was not anticipated to experience substantial alterations. In the next 50 years (2055-2085), the suitable areas under SSP245 scenario would be higher than SSP585. Precipitation from July to September (pr79), soil pH (ph), elevation (dem), and near-surface air temperature in January (tas1) were the main factors affecting the suitable areas of wine grapes. Further analysis revealed that a certain level of the near-surface air temperature in January (tas1) contributed positively to the expansion of suitable areas. However, excessively high average temperatures in January and July tended to have a detrimental effect. A rise in winter temperature can foster a more favorable environment for wine grapes to overwinter. However, frequent summer heat waves and high winter temperatures caused by climate warming may have adverse effects.},
}

@article {pmid40034296,
year = {2025},
author = {Henri Aurélien, AB},
title = {Vulnerability to climate change in sub-Saharan Africa countries. Does international trade matter?.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {4},
pages = {e42517},
pmid = {40034296},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {In a global context of climate vulnerability, characterized by populations' exposure to extreme temperatures, floods, and droughts, we highlight the role of international trade in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries resilience to climate shocks. Therefore, this paper examines the direct and indirect role of international trade in climate change vulnerability using a country-time fixed effects model and a panel of 39 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 2000 to 2021. The results obtained using the Two-Way Fixed Effects (TWFE) method indicate that international trade, as a vector of wealth creation, directly reduces climate change vulnerability in SSA. We also find that international trade reduces climate change vulnerability through the channels of GDP, water availability, renewable energy and ICT. However, we show that food insecurity reduces the effect of international trade on climate change vulnerability. We recommend: intensifying trade practices to generate wealth, especially trade in environmental goods and services that allow for measuring, preventing, limiting, and reducing environmental damages. We also propose the implementation of government strategies to prepare for climate change, such as environmental policies. From the above, we have given this study implications not only in scientific terms but also in terms of commercial practice by the state and companies.},
}

@article {pmid40033115,
year = {2025},
author = {},
title = {Net increase in temperature-related deaths under climate change in Europe.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40033115},
issn = {1546-170X},
}

@article {pmid40029887,
year = {2025},
author = {Kim, DJ and Han, NY and Choi, MN and Jang, MJ and Shin, MS and Seo, CW and Lee, DH and Kwon, YS},
title = {Assessment of climate change impact on landscape tree distribution and sustainability in South Korea using MaxEnt-based modeling.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {3},
pages = {e0316393},
pmid = {40029887},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Republic of Korea ; *Trees/growth & development ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Betula ; Models, Theoretical ; Taxus ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {The rapidly changing climate is impacting species globally at an unprecedented rate, including humans. Consequently, extensive research is being conducted on the impacts of climate change on indigenous and vulnerable species. However, landscape trees, which are cultivated and managed by humans, receive less attention despite their significant role in urban environments. Landscape tree also have specific climatic ranges and environmental requirements, making them susceptible to climate change. In this study, we predicted the future sustainability of three native landscape trees (Stewartia koreana, Betula ermanii, and Taxus cuspidata) using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) models under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios. A time-series analysis of suitability was conducted, and the resulting maps were overlaid to classify regions of suitability. The findings indicate a general northward shift in climate suitability and a potential reduction in long-term suitable areas for all three species. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, potential suitable area for S. koreana increased, while those for B. ermanii, T. cuspidata decreased by the 2090s. Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, suitable areas for S. koreana, B. ermanii, T. cuspidata decreased by 33.6%, 98.9%, and 90.1%, respectively. The climate suitability classification ("Sustainable suitability", "Risk", "Inflow", "Lost", and "Variable" regions) effectively identified areas of sustainability and risk, as well as regions requiring management. A notable decline in "Sustainable suitability" regions, which remained suitable from the present to the 2090s, was observed under the SSP5-8.5 scenario relative to SSP2-4.5. The methods utilized in this study offer valuable insights for future landscape planning and conservation. This research underscores the need for adaptive strategies to mitigate potential economic and ecological impacts of climate change by utilizing species distribution models for sustainable landscape planning and tree conservation.},
}

*Climate Change
Republic of Korea
*Trees/growth & development
Conservation of Natural Resources/methods
Betula
Models, Theoretical
Taxus
Ecosystem

@article {pmid40029469,
year = {2025},
author = {Naderi, M},
title = {Projections of major climate change indicators over Iran from 2021 to 2080.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40029469},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {No Number//Institute for Advanced Studies in Basic Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {This study addresses the impact of climate change (2021-2080) on the seasonal distribution of rainfall, temperature, and season lengths over Iran under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) of the low (SSP1-1.9), moderate (SSP2-4.5), and high (SSP5-8.5) levels of global warming, based on the 29 model ensemble of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Results reveal that spring and autumn lengths are ~ 90 days during the baseline period (1980-2014), while summer (~ 97 days) is longer than winter (~ 87 days) by 10 days. However, global warming will result in longer summer and winter and shorter spring and autumn seasons in the future. The temperature will increase during all four seasons of spring and autumn (1.5-2.7 ∘ C), winter (1.1-2.2 ∘ C), and summer (2.0-3.2 ∘ C) consistently with the level of global warming scenarios. Meanwhile, minimum and maximum temperature enhancement will occur during winter and summer, respectively, under a given climate change scenario. Rainfall over Iran will increase during all seasons (6-36%) under SSP1-1.9 but will reduce under warmer scenarios SSP2-4.5 (12-24%) and SSP5-8.5 (8-24%). The contributions of the spring, summer, autumn, and winter seasons to the annual rainfall are 32%, 5%, 20%, and 43%, respectively, implying winter and spring as wet seasons during the baseline period. However, climate change may shift the wet season from winter to spring or autumn, depending on the station and SSP, under climate change. Water managers and policymakers need to consider the highlighted issues for future sustainable management in Iran.},
}

@article {pmid40028955,
year = {2025},
author = {Piarroux, R and Piarroux, M and Rebaudet, S},
title = {[Global cholera upsurge: Global warming and what else?].},
journal = {Medecine sciences : M/S},
volume = {41},
number = {2},
pages = {166-172},
doi = {10.1051/medsci/2025013},
pmid = {40028955},
issn = {1958-5381},
}

@article {pmid40028951,
year = {2025},
author = {Dupuis, B and Brézillon-Dubus, L and Failloux, AB},
title = {[The effects of climate change on the emergence of dengue].},
journal = {Medecine sciences : M/S},
volume = {41},
number = {2},
pages = {137-144},
doi = {10.1051/medsci/2025009},
pmid = {40028951},
issn = {1958-5381},
mesh = {*Dengue/epidemiology/transmission ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Animals ; Mosquito Vectors/virology ; Communicable Diseases, Emerging/epidemiology/transmission/virology ; Aedes/virology/physiology ; Dengue Virus/physiology ; Mosquito Control/methods ; },
abstract = {In recent decades, dengue has become a global issue due to its rapid spread and significant public health impact. Climate change is recognized as a key factor in the geographical spread of dengue and its vectors. Climate change affects dengue transmission through changes in temperature and precipitation, which affect both vectors and arboviruses. Climate change can also disrupt human migration patterns facilitating the spread of the virus and the invasion of vectors into new regions. Understanding the impact of climate change on dengue and its vectors is essential for developing strategies to prevent and control the disease. Appropriate mosquito control strategies, enhanced epidemiological surveillance and tailored public health systems are needed to mitigate the increasing burden of dengue in the context of climate change.},
}

*Dengue/epidemiology/transmission
*Climate Change
Humans
Animals
Mosquito Vectors/virology
Communicable Diseases, Emerging/epidemiology/transmission/virology
Aedes/virology/physiology
Dengue Virus/physiology
Mosquito Control/methods

@article {pmid40027413,
year = {2025},
author = {Deng, R and Xiao, K and Chen, X and Huang, B and Li, H and Wu, L and Ning, H and Chen, H},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on the Narrow Endemic Herb Psilopeganum sinense (Rutaceae) in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {e71042},
pmid = {40027413},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Psilopeganum sinense is a perennial herb endemic to the Three Gorges Reservoir Area (TGRA) of the Yangtze River and its surrounding regions. This species is crucial for ecological conservation and regional socioeconomic development. Recent extreme weather events in the TGRA have directly and indirectly caused local losses of numerous wild populations of P. sinense. Given the severe survival crisis induced by climate change, it is essential to explore the effects of climate change on the potential distribution of P. sinense. Although there is a general awareness of the adverse effects of climate change on various species, there is a lack of comprehensive studies focusing on the long-term effects and detailed climatic variables influencing the distribution of P. sinense. In this study, we aimed to use the random forest (RF) algorithm to analyze the redistribution of P. sinense across several critical climatic periods. The results indicated that the main variables limiting the present geographical distribution of P. sinense were precipitation seasonality and the mean diurnal range. Currently, P. sinense is mainly distributed in the riparian zone of the TGRA and its surrounding areas, exhibiting a relatively narrow climatic niche and habitat fragmentation pattern. Historically, distributions under past climatic conditions were relatively intact and more extensive than the current distribution area. During the last interglacial period, a broad distribution of highly suitable areas was observed in eastern Sichuan Province, northern Chongqing, and central Hubei Province, exhibiting a continuous distribution pattern. Future climate scenarios indicated a projected 32.84% decrease in suitable areas under RCP4.5-2050s. In northern Chongqing, the ecological corridors established in highly suitable habitats would fragment and gradually separate. Some previously unsuitable areas for P. sinense could transform into potentially suitable habitats because of climate change; however, these suitable areas might exhibit fragmented and discrete distribution patterns. In general, both the shrinkage of suitable habitats and habitat fragmentation would compress the already limited survival space of P. sinense, leading some populations to prematurely confront critical survival decisions under severe climate pressures. Our results not only provide a scientific basis for managing P. sinense resources in the context of climate change but also serve as an important reference for restoring wild P. sinense populations.},
}

@article {pmid40026640,
year = {2025},
author = {Rahman, MS and Anika, AA and Raka, RA and Muratovic, AK},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Emerging Infectious Diseases and Human Physical and Mental Health in Bangladesh.},
journal = {Health care science},
volume = {4},
number = {1},
pages = {62-65},
pmid = {40026640},
issn = {2771-1757},
abstract = {This study aims to give possible solutions to the impact of climate change on the nation's physical and mental health and emerging infectious diseases. Improving Bangladesh's healthcare, response, and data collection systems is a public health emergency.},
}

@article {pmid40026276,
year = {2025},
author = {Lin, X and Hu, W and Hii, KS and Xiao, W and Tan, H and Ma, L and Mohamed, HF and Cai, R and Kang, J and Luo, Z},
title = {Climate Change Drives Long-Term Spatiotemporal Shifts in Red Noctiluca scintillans Blooms Along China's Coast.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17709},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17709},
pmid = {40026276},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {2022J06029//Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province/ ; 42276219//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has significantly altered the spatiotemporal distribution and phenology of marine organisms, yet the long-term trends and mechanisms driving these changes remain insufficiently understood. In this study, we analysed historical Noctiluca scintillans bloom data from coastal China (1933, 1952, 1981-2023), sea surface temperature (SST) records from the past 40 years, and 509 field samples using Single Molecule Real-Time (SMRT) sequencing (2019-2024). Our results indicate that SST is the primary driver of N. scintillans blooms, exhibiting a nonlinear unimodal correlation. Long-term SST warming has caused a northward shift in bloom locations, aligning with the 21.9°C-22.7°C isotherms, as reflected by the increasing average latitudes of bloom occurrences. Over the past 4 decades, bloom frequency and duration have followed an overall increasing trend, displaying an approximate 10-year cyclical pattern. Ocean warming has also contributed to earlier bloom initiation, extended peak bloom periods and delayed bloom termination, shaping the long-term dynamics of N. scintillans blooms. SMRT sequencing confirmed that local N. scintillans populations persist year-round, serving as latent seed sources that can rapidly bloom when environmental conditions become favourable. These findings provide critical insights into the dynamics of harmful algal blooms in the context of climate change and lay a foundation for future ecological and environmental research.},
}

@article {pmid40025766,
year = {2025},
author = {Day, L},
title = {Climate change and the environmental impact of asthma inhalers: advice for children, young people and families.},
journal = {Nursing children and young people},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.7748/ncyp.2025.e1545},
pmid = {40025766},
issn = {2046-2344},
abstract = {Climate change is an ever-increasing threat that is having significant detrimental effects on the planet and people's health and well-being. This article explores these effects and examines the environmental impact of different types of inhalers, demonstrating the vast difference between certain types. It also discusses how children's nurses can implement inhaler changes in children and young people effectively, using change management theory and recognised change tools as a guide. With reference to the latest research and studies, the author demonstrates how making inhaler changes can significantly reduce their impact on the environment, thereby protecting the lives of children today and future generations.},
}

@article {pmid40025469,
year = {2025},
author = {Tardieu, L and Driscoll, MA and Jones, KR},
title = {Neo-tropical species production: a sustainable strategy for climate change adaptation in neo-tropical regions.},
journal = {BMC veterinary research},
volume = {21},
number = {1},
pages = {134},
pmid = {40025469},
issn = {1746-6148},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Tropical Climate ; Caribbean Region ; Latin America ; Animal Husbandry/methods ; Animals, Wild ; Livestock ; },
abstract = {This opinion piece clarifies the impact of climate change on animal production in the Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) region and proposes a sustainable solution. Anthropogenic climate change has resulted in higher ambient temperatures, rainfall, humidity, storms and desertification. These events have direct and indirect effects on conventional animal performance and this piece will highlight the impact of increased temperatures on their welfare, health and production in the LAC. Alternative species such as neo-tropical wildlife animals have been proposed as climate resilient animals for use in the LAC, as they are well adapted to the climate and environment in the tropics. Some of these animals include capybara, lappe, agouti, caiman, cocrico and collared peccary. Neo-tropical animal production has the potential to produce nutritious meat, quality leather, reduce pollution and serve as a form of sustainable production. These animals can be inserted into a sustainable production system as their feed resources can be supplied through the use of local feedstuff, they also require less water and energy for maintenance, as they are well adapted to the high temperature and humidity in comparison to domesticated animals such as cattle, pigs and chickens. Finally, the key challenges including the legal use of the animals throughout the year, lack of technical experience and limited knowledge on the biology of these animals are discussed.},
}

Animals
*Climate Change
*Tropical Climate
Caribbean Region
Latin America
Animal Husbandry/methods
Animals, Wild
Livestock

@article {pmid40025403,
year = {2025},
author = {Murea, M and Avesani, CM and Torreggiani, M},
title = {Understanding drivers of climate change action among nephrology professionals.},
journal = {Journal of nephrology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40025403},
issn = {1724-6059},
}

@article {pmid40024984,
year = {2025},
author = {Chávez-Bustamante, F and Rojas, CA},
title = {Diverse experiences, diverse adaptations: A multidimensional look at climate change responses.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40024984},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {Vicerrectoría de Investigación y Postgrado [Project VIPUCT-2022PI-CR-1].//Universidad Católica de Temuco/ ; },
abstract = {Human behavioral adaptation to climate change has gained increasing attention from multiple disciplines; behavioral literature, for instance, has studied people's responses to climate change when physically experiencing a specific climate event. Our research builds on that literature and incorporates a multidimensional approach to experiences and adaptation: rather than studying one physical manifestation and a particular response, we test whether different climate events relate to different forms of adaptation. Based on a national environmental survey, we employ Bayesian regression modeling to comprehend whether adaptation actions (changes in clothing, diet, occupation, house infrastructure, and water and energy consumption) relate to various reported experiences (droughts, floods, rains, heatwaves, forest fires, problems in food supply, biodiversity loss, and rise in sea level). Our results highlight the heterogeneous nature of behavioral responses to perceived climate change events: not all climate change manifestations relate to adaptation actions, thereby providing a multidimensional view of the action-experience relation.},
}

@article {pmid40021939,
year = {2025},
author = {Seymour, JR and McLellan, SL},
title = {Climate change will amplify the impacts of harmful microorganisms in aquatic ecosystems.},
journal = {Nature microbiology},
volume = {10},
number = {3},
pages = {615-626},
pmid = {40021939},
issn = {2058-5276},
support = {DP210101610//Department of Education and Training | Australian Research Council (ARC)/ ; },
abstract = {More than 70% of the human population lives within five kilometres of a natural water feature. These aquatic ecosystems are heavily used for resource provision and recreation, and represent the interface between human populations and aquatic microbiomes, which can sometimes negatively impact human health. Diverse species of endemic aquatic microorganisms, including toxic microalgae and pathogenic bacteria, can be harmful to humans. Aquatic ecosystems are also subject to intrusions of allochthonous pathogenic microorganisms through pollution and runoff. Notably, environmental processes that amplify the abundance and impact of harmful aquatic microorganisms are occurring with increasing frequency owing to climate change. For instance, increases in water temperature stimulate outbreaks of pathogenic and toxic species, whereas more intense precipitation events escalate microbial contamination from stormwater discharge. In this Perspective we discuss the influence of aquatic microbiomes on the health and economies of human populations and examine how climate change is increasing these impacts.},
}

@article {pmid40021917,
year = {2025},
author = {Sangsefidi, Y and Rios, A and Bagheri, K and Carroll, MW and Davani, H},
title = {Integrating social data and engineering solutions for developing resilient water infrastructure against coastal climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7241},
pmid = {40021917},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2113987//National Science Foundation/ ; 2113984//National Science Foundation/ ; 2239602//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {This study combines responses from a social survey with compound flood modeling in a marginalized coastal community to assess implementation of green infrastructure, such as rain barrels and rain gardens, in a city scale. This research focuses on the City of Imperial Beach, CA, which is an underserved coastal community located near the border with Mexico. A principal objective of the present research was analyzing social survey responses and the public's perceptions to estimate the extent to which decentralized water infrastructure might be accepted by and feasible for the target underserved coastal community. The feasibility of the proposed solution is strengthened through a collaboration with the City of Imperial Beach, which has led to the results of this study being presented in various public sources and forums. The social survey revealed that more than 4/5 of respondents are interested in receiving a rain barrel for free, and the needed financial incentives for rain barrel and rain garden installation can be the whole cost of the practice. Results of the social survey provide promising prospects for the community's adoption of decentralized water infrastructure, but public awareness and engagement still need to be improved through appropriate outreach activities, particularly in areas at risk of future flooding and sewer overflows. The effectiveness of our proposed solution is assessed through hydrologic-hydraulic model outputs, deploying a fine resolution 2-dimensional overland flow model, present that for a stormdrain system with typical defects (e.g. 0.25% porosity), working under current sea levels (i.e., sea level rise = 0 m), and a typical storm (e.g., 1-year rainfall), the flood volume may decrease 56-99% after implementing a rain barrel system and adding a rain garden system.},
}

@article {pmid40020586,
year = {2025},
author = {Dondini, G and Vergari, S and Mori, E and Bertonelli, S and Ancillotto, L},
title = {Are bats tracking climate change? Long-term monitoring reveals phenology shifts and population trends of forest bats.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {969},
number = {},
pages = {178995},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178995},
pmid = {40020586},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is altering wildlife assemblages, although limited long-term data hinders understanding of its impacts. Bats are widely reported to be good models for studying climate change effects due to their sensitivity to temperature and migration patterns. Here we use forest bats as models to investigate how climate and interspecific interactions may affect wildlife species in the long-term, by monitoring populations of sympatric noctules over three decades. We aimed at understanding how climate influences fluctuations in population size and phenology, as well as assessing the role of interactions among sympatric species in shaping population trends. We investigated the long-term effects of climate change on forest bat species coexisting in the same mountainous area in central Italy. Through bat-box monitoring analysis, we examined population trends, phenological changes, and potential interspecific interactions. Overall, populations of all three species exhibited a significant increase, although fluctuations were largely driven by precipitation patterns. Specifically, cumulative yearly precipitation affected population sizes of all species, with N. leisleri additionally influenced by minimum yearly temperatures and by the presence of N. lasiopterus. We also documented phenological shifts, particularly in N. leisleri, with males advancing their arrival as early as February, and females delaying to late summer and autumn, leading to a significant decline in seasonal intersex overlap. Interspecific interactions also apparently shaped population trends, with N. lasiopterus showing a positive association with N. noctula, and N. leisleri being displaced from areas with increasing presence of N. lasiopterus. These findings indicate that forest bats may alter their ecology in response to climate change, yet inconsistently among species and between sexes, with potentially negative effects upon interspecific interactions and individual reproductive success. Besides, we highlight the importance of long-term monitoring programs in understanding the multifaceted effects of climate change on bat populations in forest ecosystems, particularly in mountain habitats.},
}

@article {pmid40020370,
year = {2025},
author = {Rizzo, D and Vinatier, F and Jacob, F and Ferchichi, I and Mekki, I and Albergel, J and Bailly, JS},
title = {A framework for the sustainable maintenance of permanent runoff management structures in rainfed agriculture under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124718},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124718},
pmid = {40020370},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Rainfed agriculture supports a significant share of global food production, balancing water storage with competing demands through runoff management. Human interventions to manage runoff range from temporary practices (e.g., tillage adjustments, crop residue retention) to permanent structures such as terraces and ditches. While practices are adaptable, structures are less flexible but critical for climate resilience. Their life-cycle comprises design/construction, maintenance, abandonment/destruction, and rehabilitation. Despite extensive research on design, rehabilitation, and abandonment, the description, understanding, and impact of maintenance practices remain understudied. This paper addresses this gap through a configurative review (1954-2024), integrating scattered knowledge. We show that rainfall variability, driven by climate change, accelerates biophysical degradation (e.g., terrace deformation, ditch occlusion), requiring adaptation and knowledge sharing to ensure structural stability and hydrological connectivity. Results highlight how regional inconsistencies in structure names hinder cross-regional comparisons and research consolidation. Our contributions include a framework for standardizing: (1) a context-specific evaluation of maintenance practices and (2) an assessment of runoff management structure efficiency under climate change. By integrating biophysical durability, socioeconomic feasibility, and adaptive governance, this framework provides stakeholders and academic actors with a common basis for systematically evaluating and improving runoff management. In practice, we urge policymakers and practitioners to adopt proactive, climate-adaptive maintenance, and to incentivize local community involvement for hybridizing traditional knowledge and technical innovation. By integrating maintenance into farming system design and management, these structures may effectively mitigate the impacts of an increasingly unpredictable climate, ensuring long-term resilience and sustainability in rainfed agriculture.},
}

@article {pmid40018556,
year = {2024},
author = {Arunda, MO and Sorcher, R and Canabarro, APF and Svallfors, S and Endler, M and Gemzell-Danielsson, K and Kågesten, A and Ali, M and Bahamondes, L and Barreix, M and Chou, D and Gonsalves, L and Johnston, HB and Kiarie, J and Kim, CR and Narasimhan, M and Pallitto, C and Shah, MG and Say, L and Thorson, A and Ekström, AM and Larsson, EC and Brizuela, V},
title = {Climate change and sexual and reproductive health and rights research in low-income and middle-income countries: a scoping review.},
journal = {BMJ public health},
volume = {2},
number = {2},
pages = {e001090},
pmid = {40018556},
issn = {2753-4294},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to provide an overview of the research landscape and to identify research gaps linking climate change events and sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR) in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), where the negative impacts of climate change are most severe.

METHODS: We conducted a scoping review to map research studies that link climate change events or factors and SRHR aspects in LMICs. We performed a structured literature search across six databases to identify relevant peer-reviewed publications between January 1994 and 6 September 2023. The literature search yielded 14 674 peer-reviewed articles. After screening, 75 articles were included, spanning 99 countries across the globe.

RESULTS: Climate change events such as extreme temperatures, drought, rainfall shocks, cyclones and floods were found to be associated with negative maternal and newborn health outcomes ranging from reduced or low birth weight, preterm births and low Apgar scores, to lack of pregnancy care, pregnancy complications, stillbirths, and newborn and maternal deaths. Associations were also found between climate-related events and increased gender-based violence and HIV prevalence, as well as fertility decisions and harmful practices such as female genital mutilations and early and forced marriages. About two-thirds (48/75) of the articles were from the African or Western Pacific regions. The main research gaps on climate change-related events and SRHR included abortion, reproductive cancers and contraception use.

CONCLUSION: Complementing existing evidence with targeted research to fill these knowledge gaps could enhance mitigation programmes and policies.},
}

@article {pmid40016244,
year = {2025},
author = {Kumar, A and Mohanasundari, T},
title = {Assessing climate change risk and vulnerability among Bhil and Bhilala tribal communities in Madhya Pradesh, India: a multidimensional approach.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7096},
pmid = {40016244},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {India/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Risk Assessment ; Vulnerable Populations/statistics & numerical data ; Female ; Male ; Rain ; Family Characteristics ; },
abstract = {Climate change presents significant risks to marginalized communities, particularly in tribal groups like the Bhil and Bhilala communities of Madhya Pradesh, India. Limited empirical studies have focused on the effects of climate change on tribes in India. This study aims to assess climate change risk and vulnerability among tribal communities, employing the modified Mann-Kendall (MMK) test to identify climate trends, a risk assessment framework based on the Intergovernmental panel on climate change sixth assessment report (IPCC-AR6), and multiple linear regression (MLR). The MMK test indicates an increasing trend in rainfall (MMK = 1.099) and temperature. However, household perceptions reveal a high awareness of climatic changes, with 97% of respondents reporting irregularity in rainfall and 98% documenting increased summer hot days. The risk assessment shows that Bhil households face higher risk (0.107) than Bhilala households (0.068), which is determined by higher exposure and sensitivity. MLR results further emphasize that 12 of 23 indicators significantly affect risk assessment (R-squared = 0.698), with climatic events (β = 0.015), housing structure (β = 0.07), and food security being key contributors. The findings indicate that long-term climate trends are already affecting tribal livelihoods. It calls for targeted adaptation strategies, incorporating enhanced infrastructure, crop diversification, and better access to climate information and government schemes.},
}

India/epidemiology
Humans
*Climate Change
Risk Assessment
Vulnerable Populations/statistics & numerical data
Female
Male
Rain
Family Characteristics

@article {pmid40015965,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, Y and Shuai, C and Chen, X and Huang, W and Sun, J and Zhao, B},
title = {Estimating water scarcity risks under climate change: A provincial perspective in China.},
journal = {Water environment research : a research publication of the Water Environment Federation},
volume = {97},
number = {3},
pages = {e70031},
doi = {10.1002/wer.70031},
pmid = {40015965},
issn = {1554-7531},
support = {52200209//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 52370192//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 52200221//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023CDSKXYGK11//Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities/ ; },
mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Water Supply ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Water is a crucial raw material in economic production activities. Research indicates that water scarcity can lead to significant economic output losses (water scarcity risk, WSR), affecting not only the local area (referred to as local water scarcity risk, LWSR) but also causing economic losses to other regions through trade networks (referred to as virtual water scarcity risk, VWSR). With climate change exacerbating this challenge, understanding the water scarcity risk under changing climatic conditions is essential. However, few studies have addressed this issue comprehensively. To fill this gap, we developed a comprehensive model incorporating environmental flow requirements, water withdrawal, supply, economic output, and trade networks to assess LWSR and VWSR among China's provinces under climate change. Our analysis reveals a growth in China's WSR from $4.6 trillion in 2020 to $5 trillion in 2030. Specifically, both local water scarcity risk (LWSR) and virtual water scarcity risk (VWSR) amounted to $0.9 trillion and $3.7 trillion, respectively, in 2020, increasing to $1.0 trillion and $4.0 trillion by 2030. We also identified hot-spot provinces and sectors with high WSR and proposed relevant policy implications. Our findings contribute to China's climate change mitigation efforts, particularly in formulating strategies to address water scarcity risk. PRACTITIONER POINTS: Spatial heterogeneity-based environmental flow requirement is considered. The water scarcity risk of the Chinese agricultural sector in 2017 amounted to $1.1 trillion. LWSR and VWSR are 0.3 and 0.8 $trillion, respectively. Hotspot Chinese provinces and sectors are identified.},
}

China
*Climate Change
*Water Supply
Models, Theoretical

@article {pmid40015125,
year = {2025},
author = {Vigren, C and Vospernik, S and Morin, X and Toïgo, M and Bielak, K and Bravo, F and Heym, M and Löf, M and Pach, M and Ponette, Q and Pretzsch, H},
title = {Divergent regional volume growth responses of Scots Pine and Oak stands to climate change in Europe.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {969},
number = {},
pages = {178858},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178858},
pmid = {40015125},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {European climatic change has been proposed to induce many changes to forests, about factors such as tree species distributions, site productivity, groundwater availability, outbreaks of forest pests, and damage from wind-breakage of trees. Novel approaches to empirical tree growth modelling using re-measurements over large climatic gradients capture variability associated with long-term climatic conditions as well as weather during the growth period. Using the latest version of the individual tree-based forest simulator, PrognAus, which has been outfitted with a climate-sensitive basal area increment module, we forecast growth of trees in pure and mixed stands of Pinus sylvestris L. and Quercus spp. across a network of 23 European sites between 2017 and 2100 under current climate and RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climatic scenarios. By training a stand-level static reduced model (SRM) from these local level results, we forecast widespread future growth changes for stands of Pinus sylvestris and Quercus spp. across Europe. Our SRM predicts stand gross-volume relative growth (ratio of the gross volume production in a given growth year to the gross volume production until the start of the growth year) with a generalized additive mixed model (GAMM). We decomposed overall growth into tensors capturing variation associated with stand species mixture type (pure P. sylvestris, mixed P. sylvestris- Q. spp., pure Q. spp.), age, and weather conditions during the growth year and the preceeding year. Wall-to-wall predictions based on the SRM are presented for a high-resolution 30-arcsecond grid spanning most parts of Europe.},
}

@article {pmid39832547,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, Y and Zhang, X and Fang, W and Cai, Y and Zhang, G and Liang, J and Chang, J and Chen, L and Wang, H and Zhang, P and Wang, Q and Zhang, Y},
title = {Carbon sequestration potential of wetlands and regulating strategies response to climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {269},
number = {},
pages = {120890},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.120890},
pmid = {39832547},
issn = {1096-0953},
mesh = {*Wetlands ; *Climate Change ; *Carbon Sequestration ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; },
abstract = {Wetlands are important carbon sinks for mitigating climate warming. In this paper, greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes and carbon sequestration capacity of freshwater wetlands, coastal wetlands and constructed wetlands around the world are evaluated, and strategies to improve carbon sequestration by wetlands are proposed based on the main influencing factors. Air temperature and average annual rainfall are significantly positively correlated with CH4 flux and N2O flux in freshwater wetlands and coastal wetlands. While chemical oxygen demand (COD) and total nitrogen (TN) concentrations of influent are found to be the main factors affecting GHG fluxes in constructed wetlands. The main factors affecting wetland carbon storage include the presence and species of wetland vegetation, ecological water level, and ecological pattern. Strategies for protecting and restoring existing wetlands, creating new wetlands, and strengthening the carbon sequestration capacity of wetlands are proposed. Fully realizing the carbon sequestration potential of wetlands holds the prospect of a more effective and sustainable response to global climate change.},
}

*Wetlands
*Climate Change
*Carbon Sequestration
Greenhouse Gases/analysis

@article {pmid40015090,
year = {2025},
author = {Paul, S and Chakraborty, D and Tripathi, AK},
title = {Frontline extension services as a buffer against social vulnerability to climate change: A case study of shifting cultivators in Northeast India.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124607},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124607},
pmid = {40015090},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The frontline extension system (FES) can play a key role in helping shifting cultivator (jhumia) communities adapt to climate change. Providing essential farming knowledge and critical resources can help these communities reduce social vulnerabilities. The present study in this specific regard assesses the social vulnerability of shifting cultivators using the social vulnerability index (SVI) approach in the difficulty-prone Northeastern region of India (NEI). Then it also analyses the effect of the FES in reducing their social vulnerability. Cross-sectional primary data on adaptive capacity and sensitivity indicators generated through household surveys and temperature and precipitation data on exposure parameters helped us to develop the SVI. The results of a sensitivity test suggest that the constructed SVI is not sensitive to changes in indicator-weighting schemes therefore, can be considered to have produced credible results. Results of the study indicate that FES interventions could decrease the social vulnerability of shifting cultivators by enhancing their adaptive capacity and thereby reducing their dependence on shifting cultivation. Education, resourcefulness, locational advantages, progressiveness, and alternate sources of information were the key determinants of contact with the FES. Since the vulnerability of the jhumia households can be reduced through FES interventions and contact with the FES can be improved by better equipping the FES machinery to extend their outreach, we recommend that investment in infrastructure, working resources, and manpower engaged in FES may be optimized. Commensurate with the results, it is further recommended that the FES should comprise specialized programmes on easy-to-adopt, low-cost, and low-skill-requiring alternate income generating activities, prioritize mixed farming options with animal components, ensure a higher rate of seed replacement with HYVs, and multiple stress-tolerant-crops and varieties for reducing the social vulnerability of the shifting cultivators.},
}

@article {pmid40014607,
year = {2025},
author = {Hafilah Wan Ariffin, WN and Sidek, LM and Basri, H and Idros, N and Adrian, MT and Abd Ghani, NH and Khambali, HM and Allias Omar, SM and Azhar Khebir, MI and Ahmed, AN},
title = {Overtopping risk of high-hazard embankment dam under climate change condition.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0311181},
pmid = {40014607},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Malaysia ; Rain ; Floods ; Climate Models ; Hydrology ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses an escalating threat to the safety of high-hazard embankment dams, increases flood discharge impacting dam overtopping risk by altering the hydrological load of the original dam designed capacity. This paper's primary aims are to evaluate climate change's influence on extreme rainfall events and their impact on dam safety and to assess the overtopping risk of Batu Dam under various climate scenarios. This study focusses on assessing the overtopping risk of Batu Dam in Malaysia, utilizing regional climate model projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) spanning 2020 to 2100. Three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)-RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5 as the scenario and divide into 3 period of study: early century (2020-2046), mid (2047-2073) and late-century (2074-2100) evaluated with hydrological analysis to access the dam safety. Using the Linear Scaling Method (LSM), we corrected the bias projection rainfall data from three Regional Climate Models (RCMs) for the RCPs. Future Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) was estimated using statistical analysis techniques developed by the National Hydraulic Research Institute of Malaysia (NAHRIM). Additionally, Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves were updated based on climate scenarios outlined in the Hydrological Procedure 2021 and the associated Climate Change Factors. The HEC-HMS hydrological model was employed to simulate PMF and IDF for ARIs ranging from 1 to 100,000 years, providing a comprehensive analysis of risks under future climatic conditions. Across all future climate scenarios, inflow events were projected to exceed the dam design inflow, with RCP8.5 indicating the highest inflow values, particularly later in the century, highlighting probability of overtopping risks. Late-century projections show inflow for ARI 50 under RCP8.5 exceeding PMF by 20%, while mid-century RCP6.0 results indicate a 15% higher inflow for ARI 50000. Early-century RCP4.5 shows a 10% increase for ARI 100000 compared to PMF. The study advocates adaptive dam safety management and flood protection measures. This research provides crucial insights for embankment dam owners, stressing the urgent need to address Batu Dam's vulnerability to extreme flooding amidst climate change and emphasizing proactive measures to fortify critical infrastructure and protect downstream communities.},
}

*Climate Change
Malaysia
Rain
Floods
Climate Models
Hydrology

@article {pmid40012865,
year = {2025},
author = {Parzniewski, S and Luo, X and Ru, S and Ozbilge, N and Breen, K and Wu, H},
title = {Factors affecting the risk of gender-based violence among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth: a scoping review of climate change-related vulnerabilities.},
journal = {Frontiers in sociology},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {1541039},
pmid = {40012865},
issn = {2297-7775},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Gender-based violence (GBV) is a pervasive and growing issue that affects diverse populations worldwide. This study aimed to synthesize the factors affecting the risk of GBV among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth. A scoping review was conducted using international databases (Web of Science, Scopus, Proquest, PubMed, Embase, EBSCOhost) since 2009. The studies were independently appraised by two reviewers guided by the PRISMA approach. Ninety-nine articles focusing on the 2SLGBTQIA+ community, GBV, and adolescents or youth were included for the review. The factors affecting the risk of GBV among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth were categorized into (1) Wellbeing and mental health; (2) Disparities compared to cisgender youth; (3) Perpetration and victimization; (4) Different types of violence; and (5) Differences among 2SLGBTQIA+ subgroups. The studies further showed relevance to climate-related stressors such as displacement and resource scarcity, and how those can further amplify the vulnerabilities of 2SLGBTQIA+ youth to GBV. The findings revealed the necessity for multi-level strategies that account for the compounded risks faced by 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth, including those introduced by environmental crises. These five factors related to GBV among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth should be considered by social work professionals when working with at-risk populations. Due to limited robust evidence (from countries outside the US) and the diverse contexts of the selected studies, future research is needed to minimize GBV among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth, especially as climate change introduces new layers of vulnerability.

10.37766/inplasy2024.4.0008.},
}

@article {pmid40012175,
year = {2025},
author = {Balshi, A},
title = {Climate change and multiple sclerosis: Clinical challenges and strategies.},
journal = {Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {13524585251322664},
doi = {10.1177/13524585251322664},
pmid = {40012175},
issn = {1477-0970},
abstract = {Climate change poses significant challenges for people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS), exacerbating symptoms such as heat sensitivity. Increasing levels of air pollution contribute to neuroinflammation and has been associated with symptom flares, and mobility impairments complicate resource access for PwMS during climate-related weather emergencies. This paper explores the broad implications of climate change on multiple sclerosis (MS) and offers strategies for clinicians to address these emerging challenges, as understanding the broad impacts of climate change on MS is crucial to provide effective care in a changing world.},
}

@article {pmid40011720,
year = {2025},
author = {Hu, A},
title = {Atlantic circulation could be more resilient to global warming than was thought.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {638},
number = {8052},
pages = {893-894},
pmid = {40011720},
issn = {1476-4687},
}

@article {pmid40011324,
year = {2025},
author = {Matturro, A and Zambelli, E and Cuoghi, E and Copelli, D and Usberti, F and Fioni, A and Labadini, L},
title = {Innovative Drug Development Approach to Address the Transition to Low Global Warming Potential Propellant Using Hydrofluoroalkane-152a, for Triple Combination Pressurized Metered-Dose Inhaler Products Targeting Small Airways.},
journal = {AAPS PharmSciTech},
volume = {26},
number = {3},
pages = {72},
pmid = {40011324},
issn = {1530-9932},
mesh = {*Metered Dose Inhalers ; *Hydrocarbons, Fluorinated/chemistry/administration & dosage ; *Aerosol Propellants/chemistry ; Administration, Inhalation ; *Drug Development/methods ; Particle Size ; Humans ; Aerosols ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/drug therapy ; Asthma/drug therapy ; Chemistry, Pharmaceutical/methods ; Fluorocarbons ; },
abstract = {Recent and emerging environmental policies have boosted the investigation of pressurized metered-dose inhalers (pMDI) that have a minimal impact on climate change. There is a current move away from existing hydrofluorocarbon (HFC)-based propellants, specifically the hydrofluoroalkane (HFA)-134a and HFA-227ea based pMDI products that are approved for the treatment of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), towards those that use low global warming potential (LGWP) propellants. Changing the propellant to, for example, the less environmentally-damaging HFA-152a, is a focus for many manufacturers. In this paper, we report an innovative approach to developing new pMDI drug products with a LGWP propellant. Moreover, proof of the hypothesis that products containing the current propellant and those using a LGWP propellant can achieve equivalent performance is reported, by showing comparability of a triple combination pMDI (Trimbow®) formulated using the LGWP HFA-152a propellant compared with HFA-134a. This paper will present the use of in silico mathematical modelling, leveraging on Chiesi proprietary Modulite® principles to predict and validate in vitro performances of the drug product under development. Validation is carried out using realistic aerodynamic particle size distribution (rAPSD), a novel approach that offers a more accurate prediction of aerosol distribution by incorporating variations compared to the standard aerodynamic particle size distribution (APSD). Additional in vitro testing validates the prediction of in silico models and confirms good comparability in terms of aerodynamic performance between HFA-152a and HFA-134a, which translates in vivo as evidenced by the preliminary pharmacokinetics (PK) in animal models and the formal clinical PK bioequivalence (BE) studies. (Rony et al. in Pulm Pharmacol Ther 85, 2024).},
}

*Metered Dose Inhalers
*Hydrocarbons, Fluorinated/chemistry/administration & dosage
*Aerosol Propellants/chemistry
Administration, Inhalation
*Drug Development/methods
Particle Size
Humans
Aerosols
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/drug therapy
Asthma/drug therapy
Chemistry, Pharmaceutical/methods
Fluorocarbons

@article {pmid40011143,
year = {2025},
author = {Turpin, A and Matte, P and Delaye, M and Piffoux, M},
title = {[Towards a more "sustainable" oncology in the era of global warming?].},
journal = {Bulletin du cancer},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.bulcan.2025.01.005},
pmid = {40011143},
issn = {1769-6917},
}

@article {pmid40010253,
year = {2025},
author = {Potier, M and Savina-Rolland, M and Belloeil, P and Gascuel, D and Robert, M},
title = {How will the cumulative effects of fishing and climate change affect the health and resilience of the Celtic Sea ecosystem?.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {969},
number = {},
pages = {178942},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178942},
pmid = {40010253},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Ecosystems are subject to increasing anthropogenic pressures worldwide. Assessing cumulative effects of multiple pressures and their impacts on recovery processes is a daunting scientific and technical challenge due to systems' complexity. However, this is of paramount importance in the context of ecosystem-based management of natural systems. Our study provides major insights into the assessment of cumulative effects on Northeast Atlantic ecosystems. Using an Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) tropho-dynamic model for the Celtic Sea ecosystem including 53 functional groups, we (1) assess individual and cumulative effects of fishing and climate change and (2) explore the impact of fishing intensity and climate change on ecosystem resilience. Various levels of increasing fishing intensities are simulated over the whole 21st century, by forcing the EwE model with time series of sea temperature, primary production and secondary producer's biomass from the regional POLCOMS-ERSEM climate model, under both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Cumulative impacts on the ecosystem's health and its capacity to recover after the cessation of fishing activities were assessed through a set of 45 indicators (biomass-based, diversity, trait-based and habitat-based indicators), using a theoretical non-fishing and climate-constant scenario as a reference. Our results reveal climate change impacts on Boreal, pelagic species and on ecosystem stability. Fishing preferentially removes apex predators and is predicted to increase the likelihood of a regime shift by decreasing ecosystems' capacity to recover. Predicted cumulative effects are mainly additive and antagonistic but synergies are observed for high fishing effort levels, and finally climate change had minor impacts on ecosystem recovery to fishing. Fishing is shown to be the main driver of cumulative impacts and of ecosystem resilience over the next decades. Our results suggest that slight reduction in fishing effort is enough to compensate the impact of climate change. Future research should then be directed towards exploring and evaluating ecosystem-based climate-adaptive fisheries management strategies.},
}

@article {pmid40010122,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, S and Arhonditsis, GB and Ji, Y and Bryan, BA and Peng, J and Zhang, Y and Gao, J and Zhang, J and Cho, KH and Huang, J},
title = {Climate change promotes harmful algal blooms in China's lakes and reservoirs despite significant nutrient control efforts.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {277},
number = {},
pages = {123307},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2025.123307},
pmid = {40010122},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {The increasing frequency and magnitude of harmful algal blooms (HABs) threatens the integrity of aquatic ecosystem functioning and human health worldwide. Nutrient reduction strategies have been widely used to mitigate HABs, but their efficiency in light of on-going changes in climate remains unclear. Here, we assembled an 18-year (2005-2022) national water quality dataset for 97 lakes across China. We examined the dynamics of HABs and their response to nutrient reduction under historical climate change trends using a combination of statistical and process-based modeling. The results revealed an increase in HABs despite a widespread decline in ambient nutrient levels, with 80.5 % of lakes experiencing a decline in phosphorus but 61.8 % displaying an increase in Chlorophyll a concentrations. We attributed this counterintuitive trend to climatic warming, which can hinder the mitigation of HABs until the ambient nutrients reach sufficiently low levels. The extent of HAB promotion by warming varied spatially, with a distinctly greater proliferation in China's lower-latitude lakes (<35°N), primarily due to the prevailing warmer temperatures. Notwithstanding the persistence of HABs in China's lakes, national-scale modeling suggests that nutrient loading control remains valuable in protecting our water resources, as the HAB risk would have been 32.6 % higher due to climate change. The anticipated future nutrient reduction efforts in China are expected to alleviate higher latitude lakes from frequent HAB occurrences, but lower latitude lakes will still face considerable HAB risks. Our national-scale assessment demonstrates a variant efficiency of nutrient reduction in offsetting HAB risks amid rapid climate change, and highlights the need of adaptively enhancing our mitigation strategies in response to the ever-changing ecological conditions.},
}

@article {pmid40009688,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, C and Zwiers, FW and Zhang, X and Fischer, EM and Du, F and Liu, J and Wang, J and Liang, Y and Li, T and Yuan, L},
title = {Constraining the entire Earth system projections for more reliable climate change adaptation planning.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {9},
pages = {eadr5346},
pmid = {40009688},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {The warming climate is creating increased levels of climate risk because of changes to the hazards to which human and natural systems are exposed. Projections of how those hazards will change are affected by uncertainties in the climate sensitivity of climate models, among other factors. While the level-of-global-warming approach can circumvent model climate sensitivity uncertainties in some applications, practitioners faced with specific adaptation responsibilities often find such projections difficult to use because they generally require time-oriented information. Earth system projections following specified emissions scenarios can, however, be constrained by applying the level-of-global-warming approach to observationally constrained warming projections to yield more reliable time-oriented projections for adaption planning and implementation. This approach also allows individual groups to produce consistent and comparable assessments of multifaceted climate impacts and causal mechanisms, thereby benefiting climate assessments at national and international levels that provide the science basis for adaptation action.},
}

@article {pmid40009574,
year = {2025},
author = {Degioanni, A and Cabut, S and Condemi, S and Smith, RS},
title = {Climate change in Europe between 90 and 50 kyr BP and Neanderthal territorial habitability.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0308690},
pmid = {40009574},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Neanderthals ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; Europe ; Humans ; Fossils ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {After having lived as the dominant human species in Europe for over 200 kyr, Homo neanderthalensis (the Neanderthals) disappeared around 40 kyr BP (Before Present) Higham T (2014). Competition with Homo sapiens, who arrived in Europe around the same time, is often invoked to explain this extinction. Others have argued that climate change may have reduced the living space of this population making its disappearance more rapid. In order to test the climate change hypothesis we modelled the Neanderthals' ecological niches in Europe between 90 and 50 kyr BP through paleoenvironmental reconstructions and Eco-Cultural Niche Modelling. We selected five environmental variables (orographic height, mean annual precipitation, mean temperature of the coldest month, carrying capacity and friction, see below) from climate model simulations of 5 periods between 90 and 50 kyr BP in Europe. We used Structural Similarity (SSIM) index to compare the probability maps of suitable niches to Neanderthals performed by Maxent. After a strong initial environmental change between the first (P1 = 90 to 83 kyr BP) and second (P2 = 83 to 69 kyr BP) periods, our results show that large areas highly suitable for Neanderthal occupation persisted across Europe. As our results show an increase/stability of the areas suitable to Neanderthals, the question of the cause of the decrease or displacement of the Neanderthal population towards southern Europe after this climatic change remains open.},
}

*Neanderthals
Animals
*Climate Change
Europe
Humans
Fossils
Ecosystem

@article {pmid40007908,
year = {2025},
author = {Mayrhofer, M and Ammer, M and Wladasch, K},
title = {The concept of vulnerability and its relation to equality in the context of human rights: cases from climate change, anti-discrimination and asylum.},
journal = {Frontiers in sociology},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {1522402},
pmid = {40007908},
issn = {2297-7775},
abstract = {The article analyzes the concept of vulnerability and its relation to the principles of equality and non-discrimination based on a theoretical discussion and the analysis of the concept in three case studies in different human rights areas. First, an overview of the development of the legal norms of the right to equality and non-discrimination in the context of social and political developments is given, including contextualizing and embedding the concept of vulnerability in this debate. Second, the results of three case studies from different policy and legal fields will be presented. The first case study focuses on the role of vulnerability in UN human rights documents on climate change and mobility, the second case study on the role of vulnerability in the anti-discrimination case law of European courts, and the third case study on the concept of vulnerability in Austrian asylum procedures. The objective is to study the concept in different settings and, subsequently, comparatively carve out common themes across the case studies. The case studies show that vulnerability is a fuzzy concept, which often ends up being attached to 'special-needs groups' and which frequently mobilizes stigmatizing and stereotyping narratives. The concept does not have equality-promoting connotations, emphasizes individual and group-specific deficit accounts, and often fails to grasp structural factors of discrimination and inequality.},
}

@article {pmid40007788,
year = {2025},
author = {Eldos, HI and Tahir, F and Athira, UN and Mohamed, HO and Samuel, B and Skariah, S and Al-Ghamdi, SG and Al-Ansari, T and Sultan, AA},
title = {Mapping climate change interaction with human health through DPSIR framework: Qatar perspective.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {e42455},
pmid = {40007788},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study investigates the interactions between climate change and human health with a particular focus on Qatar, using the DPSIR (Driving Forces, Pressures, States, Impacts, Responses) framework. Key drivers, including economic development and population growth, contribute to increased greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, exerting pressure on Qatar's climate through rising temperatures and altered precipitation patterns, as modeled by the MIT Regional Climate Model (MRCM). The findings reveal critical gaps in understanding the state of climate-health interactions, including insufficient disease data, incomplete climate-health linkages, and significant research gaps. These limitations hinder targeted responses to climate-sensitive diseases, which have shown an increase over the years. The study identifies the pathways through which climatic shifts contribute to immediate health risks, such as heat-related illnesses and respiratory conditions, as well as long-term impacts, including chronic diseases and mental health challenges. Despite Qatar's efforts through national and international strategies, the DPSIR analysis highlights the urgent need for enhanced research, improved data collection, and tailored actions to address these challenges. Strengthened adaptation, resilience-building, and emission reduction strategies remain essential for safeguarding public health in the face of accelerating climate change.},
}

@article {pmid40007469,
year = {2025},
author = {Poinas, I and Meynard, CN and Fried, G},
title = {Plant Species Better Adapted to Climate Change Need Agricultural Extensification to Persist.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {28},
number = {2},
pages = {e70030},
pmid = {40007469},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {ANR-21-CE32-006-01//Agence Nationale de la Recherche/ ; OFB-24-0505//Office Français de la Biodiversité/ ; //Institut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'Alimentation et l'Environnement/ ; //Agence Nationale de Sécurité Sanitaire de l'Alimentation, de l'Environnement et du Travail/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Agriculture ; France ; Plants ; Biodiversity ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {Agricultural intensification and climate change have led to well-known vegetation shifts in agricultural landscapes. However, concomitant plant functional changes in agroecosystems, especially at large scales, have been seldom characterised. Here, we used a standardised yearly monitoring of > 400 agricultural field margins in France to assess the temporal response of vegetation diversity and functional traits to variations in climate and intensity of agricultural practices (herbicides, fertilisation and mowing) between 2013 and 2021. We observed clear temporal trends of increasing warming and aridity, but trends towards agricultural extensification were weak or nonsignificant. Our results showed functional changes in plant communities over time, driven mostly by climate change and suggested selective forces opposing climate change to agricultural intensification. This translated as a temporal decline of competitive and ruderal species in favour of stress-tolerant species, putting plant communities in agroecosystems in a difficult position to escape both climate and agricultural pressures at the same time.},
}

*Climate Change
*Agriculture
France
Plants
Biodiversity
Adaptation, Physiological

@article {pmid40005813,
year = {2025},
author = {Gargano, F and Brunetti, R and Buonanno, M and De Martinis, C and Cardillo, L and Fenizia, P and Anatriello, A and Rofrano, G and D'Auria, LJ and Fusco, G and Baldi, L and De Carlo, E and Ottaiano, M},
title = {Temporal Analysis of Climate Change Impact on the Spread and Prevalence of Vector-Borne Diseases in Campania (2018-2023).},
journal = {Microorganisms},
volume = {13},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40005813},
issn = {2076-2607},
abstract = {Vector-borne infections (Arbovirosis) represent a significant threat to public health worldwide. Climate change, currently a global problem, seems to contribute to the incidence and prevalence of autochthonous and imported cases of arbovirosis in Europe. The aim of this work is to evaluate the impact of climate change on the occurrence and spread of arbovirosis in order to offer concrete ideas to the competent authorities and modulate surveillance plans on the basis of risk assessment. The results of official controls carried out from 2018 to 2023 on animals subjected to the Surveillance Plans for Blue Tongue, West Nile and Usutu viruses in the Campania Region were analyzed. Statistical analyses were performed using R software (version 4.5.0). The possible correlation between the prevalence of infections and climate parameters was evaluated with the "cross-correlation time series" (p-value < 0.05). The generalized linear mixed model showed that for each unit increase in humidity and temperature, the probability of disease spread increased by 4.56% and 7.84%, respectively. The univariate logistic regression model and the odds ratio were necessary to evaluate the possible risk related to the proximity to wetlands or to bodies of water: in the past few years, these have represented a risk for the persistence and spread of arbovirosis in the Campania region.},
}

@article {pmid40005529,
year = {2025},
author = {Anstead, GM},
title = {A One Health Perspective on the Resurgence of Flea-Borne Typhus in Texas in the 21st Century: Part 1: The Bacteria, the Cat Flea, Urbanization, and Climate Change.},
journal = {Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40005529},
issn = {2076-0817},
mesh = {Animals ; Texas/epidemiology ; Cats/microbiology ; *Typhus, Endemic Flea-Borne/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Urbanization ; *Rickettsia typhi ; Dogs/microbiology ; One Health ; Siphonaptera/microbiology ; Rickettsia felis ; Opossums/microbiology ; },
abstract = {Flea-borne typhus (FBT), due to Rickettsia typhi and R. felis, is an infection typically causing fever, headache, rash, hepatitis, and thrombocytopenia. About one quarter of patients suffer pulmonary, neurologic, hematologic, renal, hepatic, cardiac, ocular or other complications. In the 21st century, the incidence of FBT has increased in both Texas and California compared to the 1990s. In this paper, county-level epidemiological data for the number of cases of FBT occurring in Texas for two decades, 1990-1999 and 2010-2019, were compared with respect to county of residence, urbanization, and climatic region. Human population growth in Texas has promoted FBT by increased urbanization and the abundance of pet dogs and cats, stray/feral dogs and cats, and opossums. Increasing temperatures in Texas in the new millennium have increased the flea-borne transmission of FBT by promoting host infestation and flea feeding and defecation, accelerating the flea life cycle, and increasing rickettsial replication within the flea. Increased numbers of opossums and stray cats and dogs in the urban/suburban landscape have increased the risk of flea transfer to humans and their pets.},
}

Animals
Texas/epidemiology
Cats/microbiology
*Typhus, Endemic Flea-Borne/epidemiology
*Climate Change
Humans
*Urbanization
*Rickettsia typhi
Dogs/microbiology
One Health
Siphonaptera/microbiology
Rickettsia felis
Opossums/microbiology

@article {pmid40005005,
year = {2025},
author = {Latruffe, N and Lizard, G},
title = {Influence of Mediterranean Diet and Incidence of Global Warming on Food Habits and Plant Growth in Northern Mediterranean Latitudes: Narrative Review.},
journal = {Nutrients},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {},
pmid = {40005005},
issn = {2072-6643},
mesh = {Humans ; *Diet, Mediterranean/statistics & numerical data ; *Feeding Behavior ; *Global Warming ; Mediterranean Region ; Plant Development ; Climate Change ; Agriculture/methods ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has consequences for farming, food diversity and availability, and diet habits. There is now evidence that the Mediterranean climate is rapidly spreading to the Northern European latitudes.

OBJECTIVE: This narrative review aims to identify relevant studies related to climate change that could favor the progression of the Mediterranean climate in the northern latitudes of Europe, mainly in France, and to predict what the consequences of these changes on the human diet could be, especially using the concept of the Mediterranean diet, with subsequent impacts on health, farming, and eating habits.

METHODS: This narrative review was realized by consulting the PubMed, Scopus, Science Direct, and Google Scholar databases.

RESULTS: The key points developed in this review are as follows: investigating the Mediterranean diet as a healthy diet, with evidence supporting health benefits and perspectives; similarities with other places in the world at the same Mediterranean latitudes; climate change and the resulting consequences on plant growth, farming, and food habits; and perspectives on the need for societal adaptations of populations towards agriculture, food, and cooking changes. As climate change facilitates the development of new farming practices with more or fewer environmental impacts, the growth of Mediterranean plants in the highest latitudes of Europe, such as olive trees, pomegranates, and almonds, has already begun for economic reasons.

FUTURE PERSPECTIVES: In the near future, besides economic interests, climate change will favor the consumption of several products associated with the Mediterranean diet in the Northern European latitudes. In this context, producers and consumers play major roles.},
}

Humans
*Diet, Mediterranean/statistics & numerical data
*Feeding Behavior
*Global Warming
Mediterranean Region
Plant Development
Climate Change
Agriculture/methods

@article {pmid40003761,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, Q and Wang, Z and Xu, D and Peng, Y and Wu, J and Liu, Z and Li, X and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Effects of Climate Change on the Distribution of Papilio xuthus.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {16},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003761},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2022YFE0115200//National Key R&D Program of China/ ; 20A007;20E051; 21E040 and 22kA011//undamental Research Funds of China West Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {The Papilio xuthus is a widely distributed species in the genus Papilio of the family Papilionidae, possessing ecological, ornamental, and socio-economic service values. To determine the ecological role of P. xuthus and assess its population distribution under future climate change scenarios, this study utilized the MaxEnt model to predict the geographic distribution of P. xuthus in the future and evaluate its population dynamics. The results indicated that P. xuthus is currently widely distributed in East Asia, with a high suitability area of 1827.83 × 10[3] km[2], primarily in China, Japan, North Korea, and South Korea. Climate change has a significant impact on the geographic distribution of P. xuthus, with its high suitability areas decreasing in the future, particularly within China, where the change is projected to be as high as 46.46% under the SSP126 scenario by the 2050s. The centroid of its high-suitability area is expected to shift northeastward. Key environmental variable analysis revealed that Temperature Seasonality, Mean Temperature of the Wettest Quarter, Precipitation of the Wettest Month, and Precipitation of the Warmest Quarter are critical factors influencing the selection of suitable habitats by P. xuthus. This study assessed the distribution of P. xuthus and provided conservation recommendations, offering a reference for future population control and conservation efforts.},
}

@article {pmid40003483,
year = {2025},
author = {Tamire, M and Mor, SM and Baylis, M and Kaba, M},
title = {Perceived Impacts of Climate Change in Pastoralist Regions of Ethiopia: A Qualitative Study Applying the Concept of One Health.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003483},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {BB/P027954/1//the Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF), One Health Regional Network for the Horn of Africa (HORN) Project, UK Research, and Innovation (UKRI), and Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC)/ ; },
mesh = {Ethiopia ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; One Health ; Male ; Qualitative Research ; Female ; Focus Groups ; Adult ; Animals ; Middle Aged ; Animal Husbandry ; },
abstract = {Ethiopia is highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, with the increasing geographic extent, intensity, and frequency of drought. This study aimed to examine how pastoralist communities understand climate change and its impacts. We conducted a qualitative study among pastoral communities in Ethiopia using focus group discussions with community representatives and key informant interviews with human and animal health and agriculture experts. The collected data were analyzed using qualitative content analysis. Participants viewed deforestation and population growth as the main causes of climate change. They found that climate change caused high temperatures, a shortage of rainfall, and drought. These changes affected the environment, food security, and animal health, impacting their livelihoods, health, and social systems. Coping strategies included engaging in new economic activities, environmental recovery attempts, migration, and seeking food aid for survival. They suggested providing food aid, improving access to human and animal health care, and implementing early warning systems at the community level. The pastoralists perceived that climate change destroyed the natural environment, increased food insecurity, and negatively affected social systems and health. Collaborative actions are needed to mitigate these effects, initiate local environmental adaptation mechanisms, enhance water and food security, and improve animal and human health services.},
}

Ethiopia
*Climate Change
Humans
One Health
Male
Qualitative Research
Female
Focus Groups
Adult
Animals
Middle Aged
Animal Husbandry

@article {pmid40003459,
year = {2025},
author = {Gkouliaveras, V and Kalogiannidis, S and Kalfas, D and Kontsas, S},
title = {Effects of Climate Change on Health and Health Systems: A Systematic Review of Preparedness, Resilience, and Challenges.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003459},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Delivery of Health Care ; },
abstract = {Climate change has a significant impact on the population's health and negatively affects the functioning of healthcare systems. Health systems must be operationally prepared to handle the challenges posed by environmental change. Resilience is required to adapt quickly to critical environmental conditions and reduce carbon emissions. In this systematic review strategies, for health system preparedness and resilience are examined to address the impacts of climate change, and the barriers and challenges faced when implementing them. To identify studies, the Scopus, PubMed and Google Scholar databases were searched three times (from April to October 2024, 21 April, 15 June, and 9 September) for the years 2018 to 2024, using the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) methodology. Specifically, the search identified 471 articles, of which the specified inclusion and exclusion criteria (secondary studies with inclusion criteria, being in English, etc.) were met by sixteen (16) studies. According to the findings of the studies reviewed, adaptation strategies focus on structural changes, the development of training programs, the development of surveillance systems, and appropriate operational plans. The leader's ability to motivate employees to achieve defined goals, continuous evaluation of goals and interventions, and learning from previous disasters play an important role in their implementation. Similarly, key policies and strategies for mitigation include the adoption of sustainable practices, such as recycling and cultural change. However, lack of resources (human, material, financial) and increased demand for health services make it difficult to implement adaptation and mitigation strategies. The findings of the review are mainly theoretical in nature and are confirmed by other studies. It is suggested that further research on resilience and preparedness of health systems should be pursued, leading to their sustainability and the formulation of appropriate policies.},
}

*Climate Change
Humans
*Delivery of Health Care

@article {pmid40003380,
year = {2025},
author = {Ni, Q and Dong, H and Kaniadakis, A and Wang, Z and Ge, C},
title = {Investigating Older Adults' Response to Climate Change.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003380},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {101135803//UK research and Innovation/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Aged ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; *Focus Groups ; London ; },
abstract = {Older adults are both vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and uniquely positioned to contribute to climate action. However, their ability and willingness to engage vary significantly due to health disparities, financial constraints, and cultural factors. To ensure inclusivity, climate policies must reflect these differences and empower older adults to participate effectively. This research focused on 30 London-based older adults aged 60-85 (18 women, 12 men) selected via purposive sampling and stratified by gender and climate awareness. All participants were interested in climate issues and engaged in seven small focus groups facilitated by two researchers. Discussions addressed climate perceptions, low-carbon behaviors, and policy recommendations. The findings reveal that tailored communication, featuring simplified language and visual materials, resonates deeply with older adults, fostering better understanding and emotional connection. Participants highlighted practical low-carbon actions they already undertake, such as energy conservation, food waste reduction, and public transport use. They also proposed innovative strategies for promoting climate awareness, including integrating cultural and emotional elements, encouraging intergenerational learning, and providing economic incentives for green practices. To enhance the engagement of older adults in climate action, governments and corporations should develop inclusive communication strategies, provide financial support for adopting green technologies, and foster intergenerational collaboration to share knowledge and experiences in the communities. This study amplifies the voices of older adults in climate discourse, offering actionable insights for shaping communication strategies and policies. While this study provides valuable insights into older adults' contributions to climate action, future research could expand the sample size and geographic diversity to enhance the generalizability of findings.},
}

Humans
*Climate Change
Aged
Male
Female
Middle Aged
Aged, 80 and over
*Focus Groups
London

@article {pmid40003365,
year = {2025},
author = {Steinmetz-Wood, S and Kennedy, AG and Hitt, JR and Barrett, K and Gilbert, MP},
title = {Perceptions of Endocrine Clinicians Regarding Climate Change and Health.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003365},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Adult ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Endocrinology ; Endocrinologists/psychology ; },
abstract = {The effects of climate change on the endocrine system are increasingly recognized. We aimed to evaluate endocrine clinicians' perspectives on climate change awareness and knowledge, motivation for action, and the need for climate health curricula. We designed an online questionnaire with endocrine-specific questions about climate change, which was shared through social media and email. Study data were collected between 9/2022 and 11/2022. Analyses were primarily descriptive. There were 164 responses; 98% were physicians, with a median age of 41 years. The majority (95%) reported that climate change is happening; 52% reported that they are very worried. Knowledge about climate change and health was variable (6.7% very, 40% moderately, 35% modestly, 17.7% not at all), with variable concerns regarding patient effects. The top endocrine climate-health concerns were reduced exercise, malnutrition, and weather-related disruptions. Most respondents agreed that climate change and health topics should be integrated into medical education (72.8% strongly agree or agree). The three resources perceived as most helpful were continuing medical education, patient resources, and policy statements. Endocrine clinicians are aware of and worried about climate change, with varying levels of knowledge and concern about climate change and health effects. We also exposed an untapped interest in developing endocrine-specific climate and health curricula.},
}

*Climate Change
Humans
Adult
Male
Female
Middle Aged
Surveys and Questionnaires
Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice
Attitude of Health Personnel
Endocrinology
Endocrinologists/psychology

@article {pmid40003054,
year = {2025},
author = {Wen, L and Zhang, H and Fang, Z and Chen, X},
title = {The Effects of Climate Change on Sthenoteuthis oualaniensis Habitats in the Northern Indian Ocean.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {15},
number = {4},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003054},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {NSFC42306117//Zhou Fang/ ; LOF 2021-01//Zhou Fang/ ; },
abstract = {The northern Indian Ocean is located in a typical monsoon region that is also influenced by climate events such as the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), which makes Sthenoteuthis oualaniensis habitat highly susceptible to changes in climate and marine environmental conditions. This study established a suitability index (SI) model and used the arithmetic average method to construct a comprehensive habitat suitability index (HSI) model based on S. oualaniensis production statistics in the northern Indian Ocean from 2017 to 2019. Variations in the suitability of S. oualaniensis habitat during different IOD events were then analyzed. The results indicate that the model performed best when year, month, latitude, longitude, sea surface temperature (SST), wind speed (WS), and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) variables were included in the generalized additive model (GAM). SST, WS, and PAR were identified as the most important key environmental factors. The HSI model showed that the most suitable habitat during a positive IOD event was smaller than during a negative IOD event and that the suitable habitat's center was located west of the positive IOD event and east of the negative IOD event. There was a significant inverse relationship between the area, suitable for habitation, and the north-south shift in the latitudinal gravity center and the Dipole modal index (DMI). The results indicate significant differences in the habitat of S. oualaniensis in the northern Indian Ocean during different IOD events, as well as differences in suitable habitat ranges and the spatial distribution of the species.},
}

@article {pmid40001948,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, Z and Ji, Q and Yang, Y and Gao, Y and Xu, M and Guan, Y},
title = {Predicting the Potential Suitable Distribution of Albizia odoratissima (L. f.) Benth. Under Climate Change Based on the Biomod2 Model.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology14020180},
pmid = {40001948},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {Albizia odoratissima (L. f.) Benth. is a highly valuable tree species, both economically and ecologically. It has great potential for development. To conserve, develop, and use its genetic resources sustainably, it is crucial to evaluate the potential habitat of A. odoratissima and identify the key environmental factors that affect its distribution. In this study, the Biomod2 model was used to predict the potential distribution of A. odoratissima in China, using 65 occurrence points and 11 environmental variables for both current and future climate scenarios. The distribution of A. odoratissima is mainly influenced by three temperature-related factors: bio4, bio8, and bio11. Our prediction shows that the suitable habitats for A. odoratissima are mostly located in several southern provinces of China, totaling 136.98 × 10[4] km[2]. Under different climate scenarios, the suitable habitat area is expected to shift northward in the future, although the highly suitable areas will remain relatively stable. These findings have important implications for the conservation, development, and sustainable utilization of A. odoratissima resources.},
}

@article {pmid40001936,
year = {2025},
author = {Ren, J and Liu, Q and Ma, Y and Ji, Y and Xu, B and Xue, Y and Zhang, C},
title = {Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Four Trophically Dependent Fishery Species in the Northern China Seas Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology14020168},
pmid = {40001936},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {2022YFD2401301//National Key R&D Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a major challenge affecting marine environments, making it essential to understand species distribution responses in both time and space for effective conservation strategies. Meanwhile, varying responses of species to climate change may lead to changes in interspecific relationships and future spatial distributions. This study assessed spatial and temporal distributions of four trophically dependent species of economic importance in the China seas, including largehead hairtail (Trichiurus lepturus), Spanish mackerel (Scomberomorus niphonius), chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus), and anchovy (Engraulis japonicus). By incorporating fishery-dependent survey data and environmental variables, we developed a spatio-temporal mixed-effects model to analyze the distributional correlations among these species and predicted their distributions by the end of the century under different climate change scenarios. The results showed that the selected environmental factors influenced encounter probability and catch rates differently. Predictions for the end of the century under representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 2.6 and RCP8.5 suggested significant shifts in population densities, with species like T. lepturus and S. niphonius experiencing reduced densities and altered spatial patterns, while E. japonicus may benefit from climate change. The center of gravity for most species was projected to shift northward by the year 2050, with notable variations under RCP8.5. Additionally, spatial overlap among species was expected to decrease significantly by the year 2100, indicating increasing divergence in their distributions. This study underscores the effects of climate change on species habitat distribution and offers a scientific basis for future habitat protection.},
}

@article {pmid40001894,
year = {2025},
author = {Yang, Y and Gao, W and Han, Y and Zhou, T},
title = {Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on the Distribution of North China Leopards (Panthera pardus japonensis) in Gansu Province Using MaxEnt Modeling.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology14020126},
pmid = {40001894},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {20JR10RA658//the Ziwuling Ecosystem Field Scientific Observation and Research Station project in Gansu Province/ ; 22JR10K22//Gansu Province Science Popularization Project/ ; XYBYZK2211//Longdong University Doctoral Fund/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has a profound impact on the phenology and growth of vegetation, which in turn influences the distribution and behavior of animal communities, including prey species. This dynamic shift significantly affects predator survival and activities. This study utilizes the MaxEnt model to explore how climate change impacts the distribution of the North China leopard (Panthera pardus japonensis) in the Ziwuling region of Gansu Province, China. As an endemic subspecies and apex predator, the North China leopard is vital for maintaining the structure and function of local ecosystems. Unfortunately, its population faces several threats, including habitat change, interspecies competition, and human encroachment, all of which are compounded by the ongoing effects of climate change. To assess the requirement and quality of habitat for this species, we conducted a population survey in the Ziwuling area from May 2020 to June 2022, utilizing 240 infrared cameras, which identified 46 active leopard sites. Using the MaxEnt model, we simulated habitat suitability and future distribution under different climate change scenarios based on nine environmental variables. Our results indicate that the population distribution of North China leopards is primarily influenced by the mean diurnal range (Bio2), with additional sensitivity to isothermal conditions (Bio3), temperature seasonality (Bio4), maximum temperature of the warmest month (Bio5), and annual temperature range (Bio7). We also evaluated habitat suitability across three socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585) for three time intervals: the 2050s (2041-2060), the 2070s (2061-2080), and the 2090s (2081-2100). The findings suggest a significant decline in high-suitability habitat for North China leopards, while areas of medium and low suitability are projected to increase. Understanding these distributional changes in North China leopards will enhance our comprehension of the region's biogeography and inform conservation strategies aimed at mitigating the impacts of climate change.},
}

@article {pmid39999736,
year = {2025},
author = {Bakul, F and Heanoy, EZ and Antu, AD and Khandakar, F and Ahmed, S},
title = {Assessing the relationship between climate change anxiety, ecological coping, and pro-environmental behavior: Evidence from Gen Z Bangladeshis.},
journal = {Acta psychologica},
volume = {254},
number = {},
pages = {104847},
doi = {10.1016/j.actpsy.2025.104847},
pmid = {39999736},
issn = {1873-6297},
abstract = {Climate change has been speculated to cause frequent, long-lasting, and adverse weather events and would affect people's lives-and-well-being. Bangladesh, a low-lying delta is vulnerable to climate change, experiencing natural disasters each year with physical, mental, and economical impact on the population. The primary objective of the present study was to investigate the relationship between climate change anxiety (CCA), climate change-related coping strategies, and pro-environmental behavior (PEB) among Gen-Z Bangladeshis. The secondary objective was to assess CCA level and its associated coping approach among different disaster types witnessed by the respondents, and in disaster-affected vs. non-affected group. A total 557 participants between 18- and 25 years old participated in a cross-sectional survey including 13-items CCA Scale (CCAS), 15-items Ecological Coping Scale (ECS), demographics, and PEB questions. Results demonstrated that functional-impairment subscale and cognitive-impairment subscale of CCAS, MFC (meaning-focused coping), denial, and problem-focused coping (PFC) subscale of ECS, and PEBs were reliably correlated to varying degrees. Moreover, the disaster-affected group had significantly higher cognitive-impairment, functional-impairment, denial, and PFC use than non-affected group. Also, flood-witnessed people demonstrated more cognitive-impaired, functional-impaired, and used more MFC and PFC than storm and drought witnessed people. These findings highlight the awareness level of climate change impact among Gen-Z Bangladeshis, assisting professionals to formulate a tailored intervention.},
}

@article {pmid39998494,
year = {2025},
author = {Ang, SP and Chia, JE},
title = {Climate change and cardiovascular risk.},
journal = {Current opinion in cardiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/HCO.0000000000001207},
pmid = {39998494},
issn = {1531-7080},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review explores the complex relationship between climate change and cardiovascular health. It examines the mechanisms through which climate change impacts cardiovascular risk, highlights recent findings on regional trends, and discusses mitigation strategies.

RECENT FINDINGS: Climate change significantly contributes to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality through mechanisms such as temperature extremes, air pollution, and food insecurity. Heatwaves increase risks of dehydration, electrolyte imbalance, and acute cardiovascular events, while cold spells exacerbate myocardial stress and pollution-related cardiovascular risks. Air pollution, including fine particulate matter (PM2.5), induces systemic inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and atherosclerosis. Emerging data highlight regional variations, with urbanization exacerbating risks in Asia-Pacific and Middle Eastern populations, while extreme heat and cold challenge resilience in Europe and Latin America. Studies also link socioeconomic stress from climate-induced displacement and resource shortages to chronic cardiovascular conditions. Notably, urban greening and air quality regulations demonstrate potential for reducing cardiovascular risks.

SUMMARY: Climate change amplifies cardiovascular risks through diverse mechanisms, disproportionately affecting vulnerable populations. Targeted strategies, including public health campaigns, sustainable urban planning, and technological innovations, can mitigate these risks. Advances in generative artificial intelligence and big data analytics offer opportunities to tailor interventions and enhance predictive modeling. A multidisciplinary approach integrating public health, environmental science, and clinical expertise is critical to addressing these challenges. Urgent action is required to mitigate the long-term cardiovascular impacts of climate change and foster resilient health systems globally.},
}

@article {pmid39997762,
year = {2025},
author = {Humayun, M and Naseem, S and Goodman, RE and Ali, Z},
title = {Broussonetia papyrifera Pollen Metabolome Insights, Allergenicity, and Dispersal in Response to Climate Change Variables.},
journal = {Metabolites},
volume = {15},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39997762},
issn = {2218-1989},
support = {HEC-NRPU-8231//Higher Education Commision, Pakistan/ ; },
abstract = {Background/Objectives: Broussonetia papyrifera is a tree-producing allergenic pollen that grows in varied climatic conditions worldwide and causes pollen allergies in susceptible humans. This study aimed to investigate B. papyrifera pollen morphology, pollen metabolome, pollen allergenicity, and climate change's impact on the plant habitat suitability in the future. Methods: Tree pollen was collected in spring from different regions of Pakistan. Pollen samples were subjected to morphological analysis, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS), and immunoblotting. Results: MaxEnt modeling predicted the tree's future-growth invasion into new regions. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and FTIR displayed regional differences in pollen morphology and metabolome correlated to shifts in climatic variables. LC-MS/MS analysis detected four lipids that can potentially stimulate inflammatory responses. Pollen protein immunoblotting studies identified a putative 15 kDa novel allergen and verified previously known 40 kDa, 33 kDa, and 10 kDa allergens. B. papyrifera MaxEnt modeling through ACCESS1.0 and CCSM4 under 2-greenhouse gas emissions scenarios {representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5}
projected the tree invasion by the years 2050 and 2070. Conclusions: The study findings demonstrate that differences in climatic variables affect B. papyrifera-pollen metabolome and predict the habitat suitability of the tree for invasion in the future. The study results provide a model system for studying other species' pollen morphology, metabolome, future habitat suitability for plant invasion, and associated allergies in response to climate change.},
}

@article {pmid39996366,
year = {2025},
author = {Martén-Rodríguez, S and Cristobal-Pérez, EJ and de Santiago-Hernández, MH and Huerta-Ramos, G and Clemente-Martínez, L and Krupnick, G and Taylor, O and Lopezaraiza-Mikel, M and Balvino-Olvera, FJ and Sentíes-Aguilar, EM and Díaz-Infante, S and Aguirre Jaimes, A and Novais, S and Cortés-Flores, J and Lobo-Segura, J and Fuchs, EJ and Delgado-Carrillo, O and Ruiz-Mercado, I and Sáyago-Lorenzana, R and Pérez-Arroyo, K and Quesada, M},
title = {Untangling the Complexity of Climate Change Effects on Plant Reproductive Traits and Pollinators: A Systematic Global Synthesis.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {e70081},
pmid = {39996366},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2021-LN315810//Consejo Nacional de Humanidades, Ciencias y Tecnologías/ ; PAPIITIN226423//Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México/ ; PAPIIT IN224920//Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México/ ; PAPIITIN219021//Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México/ ; PAPIIITIN225924//Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México/ ; LaboratorioBinacionalUNAM-UCR//Universidad Nacional Autónoma de M/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Pollination ; Animals ; Reproduction ; Ecosystem ; Flowers/physiology ; Plants ; Insecta/physiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is expected to affect the morphological, physiological, and life-history traits of plants and animal pollinators due to more frequent extreme heat and other altered weather patterns. This systematic literature review evaluates the effects of climate change on plant and pollinator traits on a global scale to determine how species responses vary among Earth's ecosystems, climate variables, taxonomic groups, and organismal traits. We compiled studies conducted under natural or experimental conditions (excluding agricultural species) and analyzed species response patterns for each trait (advance vs. delay or no change for phenology, decrease vs. increase or no change for other traits). Climate change has advanced plant and animal phenologies across most Earth's biomes, but evidence for temporal plant-pollinator mismatches remains limited. Flower production and plant reproductive success showed diverse responses to warming and low water availability in Alpine and Temperate ecosystems, and a trend for increased or neutral responses in Arctic and Tropical biomes. Nectar rewards mainly experienced negative effects under warming and drought across Alpine and Temperate biomes, but scent emissions increased or changed in composition. Life form (woody vs. nonwoody species) did not significantly influence trait response patterns to climate change. Pollinator fecundity, size, life-history, developmental, and physiological traits mostly declined with warming across biomes; however, animal abundance and resource acquisition traits showed diverse responses. This review identified critical knowledge gaps that limit our understanding of the impacts of climate change, particularly in tropical/subtropical biomes and southern latitudes. It also highlights the urgent need to sample across a greater range of plant families and pollinator taxa (e.g., beetles, wasps, vertebrates). The diversity of climate change effects should be assessed in the context of other anthropogenic drivers of global change that threaten critically important pollination interactions.},
}

*Climate Change
*Pollination
Animals
Reproduction
Ecosystem
Flowers/physiology
Plants
Insecta/physiology

@article {pmid39996198,
year = {2025},
author = {Zavaleta-Monestel, E and Rojas-Chinchilla, C and Molina-Sojo, P and Murillo-Castro, MF and Rojas-Molina, JP and Martínez-Vargas, E},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on the Global Dynamics of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases: A Narrative Review.},
journal = {Cureus},
volume = {17},
number = {1},
pages = {e77972},
pmid = {39996198},
issn = {2168-8184},
abstract = {Climate change has significantly altered the dynamics of vector-borne infectious diseases, favoring their proliferation and geographic expansion. Factors such as rising temperatures, the frequency of extreme weather events, and uncontrolled urbanization have increased the incidence of diseases such as dengue, Zika, chikungunya, malaria, and Lyme disease, especially in vulnerable regions with limited infrastructure. This article presents a narrative review based on recent scientific literature (2018-2025) to assess the impact of climate change on vector distribution, co-infections, and control strategies. The evidence collected highlights how changing climate conditions, combined with socioeconomic, political, and demographic factors, exacerbate public health crises and complicate mitigation efforts. It is concluded that facing this challenge requires a comprehensive strategy that combines environmental management, technological innovation, epidemiological surveillance, and community educational programs, promoting a coordinated global response to reduce the associated risks.},
}

@article {pmid39995912,
year = {2025},
author = {Yesuph, DS and Dalka, DD and Tadesse Baye, M},
title = {Underutilized and neglected crop species and their role in enhancing household food security amid climate change, Wolaita Zone, Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {e42345},
pmid = {39995912},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Neglected and underutilized crop species (NUCS) are those that have been largely overlooked in mainstream agriculture, despite their potential to contribute to food security, nutritional diversity, and resilience to climate change. These crops are often undervalued, resulting in limited research and underproduction, despite their significant potential for enhancing agricultural sustainability. The study addresses the need for crop and food diversification due to food insecurity, monotonous diets, and climate change. It focuses on NUCS, which are at risk of genetic loss or negative perceptions by growers and consumers. The research aimed to document these crops, assess farmers' opinion, identify challenges in their production and consumption, and analyse their contribution to household food security. Through a multi-stage sampling method, 246 households were interviewed, along with focus group discussions and key informant interviews. The study documented 32 NUCS, which are used as supplements to staple crops and help mitigate food crises caused by climate change. However, producing and consuming these crops is often associated with poverty. The analysis revealed that 50 % of respondents have poor food consumption, 30 % are at the borderline, and only 20 % are at an acceptable level. Factors such as age, sex, farming experience, household size, and farm size significantly impact the production and consumption of these crops. The study concludes that proper documentation and seed multiplication by research and extension institutions are crucial for preserving these crops as climate change threatens staple crop production.},
}

@article {pmid39994006,
year = {2025},
author = {Parker, ER and Rosenbach, M and Davis, MDP},
title = {The American Dermatological Association's 2025 Official Policy Statement on Climate Change: a bold commitment toward health equity and sustainability.},
journal = {Archives of dermatological research},
volume = {317},
number = {1},
pages = {480},
pmid = {39994006},
issn = {1432-069X},
}

@article {pmid39993203,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, SY and Zhang, YY and Yang, F and Zhou, C and Shen, HM and Wang, BB and Zeng, J and Reynolds, DR and Chapman, JW and Hu, G},
title = {Climate change is leading to an ecological trap in a migratory insect.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {9},
pages = {e2422595122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2422595122},
pmid = {39993203},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {2022YFD1400400//MOST | National Key Research and Development Program of China (NKPs)/ ; KJJQ2024015//Fundamental Research Funds for the Central University/ ; 31772155 and 31822043//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Animal Migration/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Moths/physiology ; China ; *Seasons ; *Wind ; Population Dynamics ; Oryza/parasitology ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Many insect migrants rely on favorable seasonal winds to carry out long-range latitudinal migrations. In East China, the annual advance and retreat of the East Asian summer monsoon produces ideal conditions for seasonal range expansion and contraction of many migratory crop pests. However, climate-induced changes in the strength, timing, and location of the monsoon are impacting wind systems which may, in turn, affect migration patterns. We investigated these questions in the rice leafroller (RLR) moth, a severe pest of rice that annually invades the Lower Yangtze River Valley (LYRV) of China from winter-breeding areas further south. Using a 24-y dataset of RLR population dynamics from 31 monitoring stations across Southeast China, we investigated the impact of changes in monsoon wind regimes on fall migration patterns of the pest. Historically, RLR emigrated from the LYRV to South China on the favorably directed winds produced by the retreat of the monsoon at the end of the outbreak season (from mid-August onward). We show that in the recent 12-y period, prevailing late-season winds remain northward for longer than previously, preventing locally produced moths from emigrating southward. Additionally, winds now facilitate mass late-season immigrations into the LYRV, creating an ecological trap, as immigrants do not have time to produce another generation. As a consequence of the changing wind patterns, pest pressure is declining, and climate-induced changes to the East Asian summer monsoon result in seasonal migration becoming a riskier strategy. Such changes in insect migration patterns have severe implications for the population dynamics of windborne migrants, ecosystem functioning, and pest management strategies.},
}

Animals
*Animal Migration/physiology
*Climate Change
*Moths/physiology
China
*Seasons
*Wind
Population Dynamics
Oryza/parasitology
Ecosystem

@article {pmid39990961,
year = {2025},
author = {Vattioni, S and Peter, T and Weber, R and Dykema, JA and Luo, B and Stenke, A and Feinberg, A and Sukhodolov, T and Keutsch, FN and Ammann, M and Vockenhuber, C and Döbeli, M and Kelesidis, GA and Chiodo, G},
title = {Injecting solid particles into the stratosphere could mitigate global warming but currently entails great uncertainties.},
journal = {Communications earth & environment},
volume = {6},
number = {1},
pages = {132},
pmid = {39990961},
issn = {2662-4435},
abstract = {Stratospheric aerosol injection could mitigate harmful effects of global warming, but could have undesirable side effects, such as warming the stratosphere and depleting the ozone layer. We explore the potential benefits of solid alumina and calcite particles as alternatives to sulfate aerosols by using an experimentally informed aerosol-chemistry-climate model. Compared to sulfur dioxide, injection of solids reduces stratospheric warming by up to 70% and diffuse radiation by up to 40%, highlighting their potential benefits. Achieving -1 W m[-2] of radiative forcing would likely result in very small ozone changes, but sizable uncertainties remain. These arise from poorly understood heterogeneous chemical and microphysical processes, which, under less likely assumptions, could lead to larger global ozone column changes between -14% and +4%. Our work provides recommendations for improving the understanding of stratospheric aerosol injection using materials other than sulfur dioxide, and underscores the need for kinetic laboratory studies.},
}

@article {pmid39990578,
year = {2025},
author = {Eskew, EA and Clancey, E and Singh, D and Situma, S and Nyakarahuka, L and Njenga, MK and Nuismer, SL},
title = {Projecting climate change impacts on inter-epidemic risk of rift valley fever across east africa.},
journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2025.02.08.25321747},
pmid = {39990578},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a zoonotic disease that causes sporadic, multi-country epidemics. However, RVF virus (RVFV) also circulates during inter-epidemic periods. There is limited understanding of how climate change will affect inter-epidemic RVF. Here, we project inter-epidemic RVF risk under future climate scenarios, focusing on the East African countries of Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda.

METHODS: We combined data on inter-epidemic RVF outbreaks and spatially-explicit predictor variables to build a predictive model of inter-epidemic RVF risk. We validated our model using RVFV serological data from humans. We then projected inter-epidemic RVF risk for three future time periods (2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-208) under three climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370). Finally, we combined risk projections with human population projections to estimate the future population at risk of inter-epidemic RVF across the study region.

FINDINGS: Our model showed seasonality in inter-epidemic RVF, with risk peaking May-July following the long rains (March-May). Projections for future climate scenarios suggested that disease risk will increase January-March, with the present-day hotspots of east Kenya, southeast Tanzania, and southwest Uganda remaining high-risk. By 2061-2080, > 117 million people in the study region may be at risk from inter-epidemic RVF, a fourfold increase relative to the historical (1970-2000) estimate of ∼25 million people.

INTERPRETATION: Climate change will shift the inter-epidemic RVF risk landscape, with increasing short rains (October-December) driving increased risk January-March. Mitigating the future health impacts of RVF will require increased disease surveillance, prevention, and control effort in risk hotspots.

FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health.

RESEARCH IN CONTEXT: Evidence before this study: As for arboviruses generally, global climate change may shift the geographic distribution, timing, and severity of disease burden imposed by Rift Valley fever (RVF). To review the existing evidence for climate change impacts on RVF while adopting a specific geographic focus on East Africa, we searched Web of Science using the query string "ALL=(climate change) AND ALL=(Rift Valley fever) AND ALL=('East Africa' OR Kenya OR Tanzania OR Uganda)". Our search returned 39 results published between 2007 and 2024. We reviewed these contents to identify work with a substantive focus on understanding how future climate change will affect RVF (as opposed to investigations discussing any connection between climatic factors and RVF occurrence). We identified a total of ten papers that met this criterion: two were reviews, four analyzed mechanistic compartmental models, and four were empirical papers adopting other modeling and analysis methods. These studies highlighted the key role of precipitation and temperature in RVF epidemiology. Heavy precipitation is a well- known RVF driver given that rainfall can cause large amounts of surface water to become available for mosquito vector breeding. As such, expected wetting trends in East Africa under climate change scenarios could fuel increased frequency and severity of RVF. Temperature influences on RVF are underappreciated relative to precipitation, but climate-driven compartmental models emphasize that RVFV transmission is likely to be highest in areas that maintain optimal temperatures for mosquito development (∼22-26°C).Added value of this study: Adopting a machine learning approach, we found that precipitation, goat density, soil silt, and elevation were among the most important predictors of inter-epidemic RVF. Our model, which was trained on monthly climatic data, showed seasonally-varying RVF risk, with risk peaking following the long rains season (March-May) and, to a lesser degree, following the short rains (October-December). We used our trained model, which was validated against serological data from humans, to project RVF risk for three future time periods (2021- 2040, 2041-2060, 2061-208) under three climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370) using 11 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). As a result, our multi-model projections of inter-epidemic RVF risk explicitly incorporate multiple sources of climate uncertainty. Projections suggested that RVF risk will increase January-March across the study region, particularly under high-emissions scenarios (i.e., SSP370). Although there are some anticipated changes in the spatial distribution of RVF risk, future risk hotspots largely mirror the present-day, with high risk in east Kenya, southeast Tanzania, and southwest Uganda.Implications of all the available evidence: Precipitation, the major driver of RVF, shapes both the temporal and spatial patterning of RVF risk across East Africa. Projections of future RVF risk are also strongly influenced by precipitation, with projected increases in disease risk January-March arising from projected increases in short rains (October-December) precipitation under future climate scenarios. Accurate projections of future precipitation, including a better understanding of potential changes to climatic linkages like the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean Dipole, will enable meaningful prediction of future RVF risk that can inform disease interventions. Greater consideration of population-level host immunity and climate adaptation behaviors in East Africa (i.e., changing livestock management practices) would also allow for more realistic RVF risk projections.},
}

@article {pmid39990145,
year = {2025},
author = {He, Z and Ali, H and Wu, J and Liu, Z and Wei, X and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Impact of climate change on the distribution of Isaria cicadae Miquel in China: predictions based on the MaxEnt model.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1509882},
pmid = {39990145},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Isaria cicadae, a historically valued edible and medicinal fungus in China, has been experiencing a critical decline in abundance due to ecological degradation and overexploitation. Understanding its potential distribution is essential for promoting sustainable harvesting practices.

METHODS: This study utilizes the MaxEnt model, combined with known distribution records and 22 environmental variables, to predict the potential distribution of I. cicadae under three representative emission scenarios (CMIP6: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) for the 2050s and 2070s.

RESULTS: The analysis identifies seven key environmental variables influencing the habitat suitability of I. cicadae: the mean temperature of the driest quarter (bio09), the mean temperature of the wettest quarter (bio08), precipitation in the wettest month (bio16), the mean diurnal range (bio02), isothermality (bio03), elevation, and slope. Currently, I. cicadae is mainly found in the provinces of Yunnan, Sichuan, Hunan, Hubei, Guizhou, Jiangxi, Guangxi, Fujian, Anhui, and Zhejiang, with Yunnan and Sichuan having the largest areas of high suitability at 25.79 × 10[4] km[2] and 21.36 × 10[4] km[2], respectively.

DISCUSSION: Jiangxi, Hunan, Yunnan, Guizhou, Fujian, and the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region are identified as primary regions of high suitability. This study aims to further elucidate the impact of the environment on the distribution of I. cicadae from a geographical perspective and provide theoretical insights for the future cultivation and conservation strategies of this species.},
}

@article {pmid39988524,
year = {2025},
author = {Bai, Y and Li, D and Wangchuk, S and Kettner, A and Zhao, Y and Deng, R and Liu, Y and Xiao, C and Ni, J and Cui, P},
title = {Flood complexity and rising exposure risk in High Mountain Asia under climate change.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2025.01.055},
pmid = {39988524},
issn = {2095-9281},
}

@article {pmid39988020,
year = {2025},
author = {Bousema, T and van Asten, SAV and Ramjith, J and Buhl, MEJ and Tack, B and Whitfield, KE and Friedrich, AW and Kantele, A},
title = {Corrigendum to "Transforming ESCMID in a time of climate change: a call for sustainable conferencing" [Clin Microbiol Infect 30 (2024) 1347-1350].},
journal = {Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.cmi.2025.02.023},
pmid = {39988020},
issn = {1469-0691},
}

@article {pmid39987871,
year = {2025},
author = {Gerberding, K and Schirpke, U},
title = {Mapping the probability of forest fire hazard across the European Alps under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124600},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124600},
pmid = {39987871},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Forest fires are increasing in frequency and intensity worldwide due to the anthropogenic climate change, threatening people's lives and causing huge economic and environmental damages. Recent forest fire events suggest that forest fires are also an urgent issue in the European Alps, but studies assessing the forest fire hazard under future climate scenarios are still rare. Thus, this study aims to analyse the impacts of climate change on the probability of forest fire hazard across the European Alps and surrounding areas. In specific, we (1) explain the current forest fire hazard based on a set of environmental and anthropogenic parameters, and (2) map the forest fire hazard under current and future conditions across the study area using geographically weighted regression. Our results suggest that the fire hazard mainly depends on the frequency of lightning strikes, the annual mean temperature, and the precipitation seasonality. Overall, our results indicate a future increase in forest fire hazard, which is already significant under the SSP126 (+15.5%), while highest increases occur under the SSP370 (30.6%) and the SSP585 (35.4%). However, while the impacts are less pronounced in already fire-prone regions in the southwestern regions in France, the probability of forest fire hazard will greatly increase in the Northern and Eastern regions. Our findings emphasize the urgent need to address these climate-related challenges by decision-making and management through fire-smart forest management. Nevertheless, further efforts are needed to overcome current limitations related to data availability and uncertainties in future scenarios.},
}

@article {pmid39987869,
year = {2025},
author = {Andrista, S and Utami, NP and Hukom, V and Nielsen, M and Nielsen, R},
title = {Responses to climate change: Perceptions and adaptation among small-scale farmers in Indonesia.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124593},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124593},
pmid = {39987869},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change poses challenges to the global agricultural systems. The threat is more significant for small-scale farmers who constitute 40% of global and 29% of Indonesian farmers, playing a pivotal role in rural economies. Understanding how small-scale farmers adapt to climate change is crucial for developing targeted policy interventions because there is no "one size fits all" policy. This paper explores perceptions and driving forces of adaptation responses to climate change among small-scale farmers in Indonesia, while putting emphasis on the role of perceptions and socioeconomic factors at a local level. Employing both qualitative and quantitative research methods, the study analyzed perceptions and adaptation strategies among farmers in six districts representing Indonesia's varied climate patterns: Mentawai, West Tanjung Jabung, West Kotawaringin, Buton, Sikka, and Fakfak. The qualitative method involved in-depth interviews with 125 farmers to understand how climate variability, socioeconomic conditions, knowledge levels, technological resources, and institutional capabilities influence adaptation strategies such as crop diversification, land maintenance, and livelihood diversification. The quantitative method employed logistic regression to identify the driving factors behind these adaptation decisions. The findings reveal significant variations in climate change perceptions across different climatic regions, highlighting the considerable influence of gender, access to government support, and access to information on climate change adaptation strategies. Gender positively influences land management practices, where males are more likely to perform land maintenance activities compared to females. Government support and information access positively affect crop diversification, land management practices, and livelihood diversification. These insights suggest important policy implications for enhancing climate change adaptation strategies within communities which include region-specific climate adaptation plans, climate education programs, enhancing climate information accuracy and accessibility, gender-sensitive climate adaptation policies, and support for livelihood diversification.},
}

@article {pmid39987228,
year = {2025},
author = {Benoit, L and R Lowe, S and Thomas, I and Amsalem, D and Martin, A},
title = {Climate change hopefulness, anxiety, and behavioral intentions among adolescents: randomized controlled trial of a brief "selfie" video intervention.},
journal = {Child and adolescent psychiatry and mental health},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {13},
pmid = {39987228},
issn = {1753-2000},
support = {R25 MH077823/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States ; 5R25 MH077823/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {AIM: We tested the utility of showing "selfie" videos to increase adolescents' climate change hope, agency, and behavioral intentions, and to decrease their climate anxiety.

METHODS: We conducted a randomized controlled trial among healthy volunteers, ages 14 to 18, enrolled through a crowdsourcing platform. We randomly assigned participants (N = 1039) to view one of three 110-s-long video interventions featuring the same adolescent protagonist: positive (depicting an action-oriented stance); negative (defeatist stance); and control (neutral stance and unrelated content). The primary outcome was climate change hope; secondary outcomes were climate change anxiety, behavioral intention scales, and 100-point sliders about hopefulness and agency.

RESULTS: Viewing positive "selfie" videos proved effective among adolescents in increasing hopefulness and a sense of agency regarding climate change (< 0.001), but not in decreasing climate anxiety or increasing intentions to engage in pro-environmental behaviors.

CONCLUSION: Brief video-based interventions featuring adolescent protagonists showed potential to increase hope and agency regarding climate change. While this single exposure did not directly affect anxiety levels or behavioral intentions, future research should examine whether repeated exposure and different "doses" of such interventions might influence these outcomes. The ubiquity and reach of social media hold promise to scale these inexpensive and specifically tailored interventions.},
}

@article {pmid39986317,
year = {2025},
author = {Litchman, E},
title = {Climate change effects on the human gut microbiome: complex mechanisms and global inequities.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {9},
number = {2},
pages = {e134-e144},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00332-2},
pmid = {39986317},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Gastrointestinal Microbiome/physiology ; Diet ; },
abstract = {Ongoing global climate change is affecting all aspects of life on Earth, including human health. The gut microbiota is an important determinant of health in humans and other organisms, but how climate change affects gut microbiota remains largely unexplored. In this Review, I discuss how the changing climate might affect gut microbiota by altering the quantity and quality of food, as well as environmental microbiomes, such as enteric pathogen pressure and host physiology. Climate change-induced variability in food supply, shifts in elemental and macromolecular composition of plant and animal food, the proliferation of enteric pathogens, and the direct effects of high temperatures on gut physiology might alter gut microbiota in undesirable ways, increasing the health burden of climate change. The importance of different pathways might depend on many geographical, economic, and ecological factors. Microbiomes of populations in low-income countries might be disproportionally affected through greater climate change effects and poor mitigation on diet, pathogen burden, and host physiology.},
}

*Climate Change
Humans
*Gastrointestinal Microbiome/physiology
Diet

@article {pmid39985278,
year = {2025},
author = {Hayes, C and Mitchell, A and Huerlimann, R and Jolly, J and Li, C and Booth, DJ and Ravasi, T and Nagelkerken, I},
title = {Stomach Microbiome Simplification of a Coral Reef Fish at Its Novel Cold-Range Edge Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17704},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17704},
pmid = {39985278},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {DP170101722//Australian Research Council/ ; OIST Kick-start fund//Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University/ ; },
abstract = {Climate-driven range extensions of animals into higher latitudes are often facilitated by phenotypic plasticity. Modifications to habitat preference, behaviour and diet can increase the persistence of range-extending species in novel high-latitude ecosystems. These strategies may be influenced by changes in their gut and stomach microbial communities that are critical to host fitness and potentially adaptive plasticity. Yet, it remains unknown if the gut and stomach microbiome of range-extending species is plastic in their novel ranges to help facilitate these modifications. Here, we categorised stomach microbiome communities of a prevalent range-extending coral reef fish along a 2000-km latitudinal gradient in a global warming hotspot, extending from their tropical core range to their temperate cold range edge. At their cold range edge, the coral reef fish's stomach microbiome showed a 59% decrease in bacterial diversity and a 164% increase in the relative abundance of opportunistic bacteria (Vibrio) compared to their core range. Microbiome diversity was unaffected by fish body size, water temperature, physiology (cellular defence and damage) and habitat type (turf, barren, oyster, kelp and coral) across their range. The observed shifts in microbiome composition suggest dysbiosis and low plasticity of tropical range-extending fishes to novel environmental conditions (e.g., temperate prey and lower seawater temperature) at their novel range edges, which may increase their susceptibility to disease in temperate ecosystems. We conclude that fishes extending their ranges to higher latitudes under ocean warming can experience a simplification (i.e., reduced diversity) of their stomach microbiome, which could restrict their current rate of range extensions or establishment in temperate ecosystems.},
}

@article {pmid39984516,
year = {2025},
author = {Morozov, A and Ageel, A and Bates, A and Galyov, E},
title = {Modelling the effects of climate change on the interaction between bacteria and phages with a temperature-dependent lifecycle switch.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6428},
pmid = {39984516},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {EP/W522326/1//Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Bacteriophages/physiology ; *Burkholderia pseudomallei/virology ; *Temperature ; Thailand ; Soil Microbiology ; Models, Theoretical ; Melioidosis/microbiology/transmission ; Lysogeny ; Agriculture/methods ; Humans ; },
abstract = {Ongoing climate change and human activities alter the population dynamics of pathogenic bacteria in natural environments, increasing the risk of disease transmission. Among the key mechanisms of amplification of bacteria in the environment is the alteration of the natural control by their enemies, bacteriophages. Using mathematical modelling, we explore how climate change and implementation of certain agricultural practices affect interactions of bacteria with phage exhibiting condition-dependent lysogeny, where the type of phage infection lifecycle is determined by the ambient temperature. As a case study, we model alteration to the control of the pathogenic bacteria Burkholderia pseudomallei by its dominant phage. B. pseudomallei causes melioidosis, which is among the deadliest infections in Southeast Asia and across the tropics. We use historical records for UV radiation and temperature in Thailand covering the period 2009-2023 to assess the density of the phage-free pathogen, capable of causing infection. We also predict phage-pathogen dynamics for the period 2024-2044. We apply both non-spatial and spatial models to mimic B. pseudomallei population dynamics in the surface water of rice fields and in soil. Our models predict a drastic increase in pathogen density due to less efficient control by the phage which is caused by global warming. We also find that some of the current agricultural practices would enhance the risk of acquisition of melioidosis by altering densities of the pathogen in the environment.},
}

*Climate Change
*Bacteriophages/physiology
*Burkholderia pseudomallei/virology
*Temperature
Thailand
Soil Microbiology
Models, Theoretical
Melioidosis/microbiology/transmission
Lysogeny
Agriculture/methods
Humans

@article {pmid39984227,
year = {2025},
author = {Maritano, S and Richiardi, L and Quaglia, S and Rusconi, F and Maule, M and Moirano, G},
title = {Exposure to climate change-related extreme events in the first year of life and occurrence of infant wheezing.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {196},
number = {},
pages = {109303},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2025.109303},
pmid = {39984227},
issn = {1873-6750},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Infant ; *Respiratory Sounds ; Female ; Italy/epidemiology ; *Environmental Exposure/statistics & numerical data/adverse effects ; Male ; Adult ; Droughts ; Particulate Matter/analysis ; Wildfires ; Extreme Heat/adverse effects ; Infant, Newborn ; Prevalence ; Pregnancy ; Cohort Studies ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change increases the intensity and frequency of extreme events, which will most impact younger generations. Within the NINFEA birth cohort, we investigated the relationship between exposure to such events during the first year of life and infant respiratory health.

METHODS: The NINFEA cohort study recruited pregnant women across 11 years in Italy, allowing for climatic variability exploitation by birth place and time. We combined geocoded addresses with climate data, to derive children's cumulative exposure to the following extreme events during their first year: (i) heatwaves (i.e. 3 + consecutive days, with maximum temperature > 35 °C); (ii) days with wildfire PM2.5 >15 μg/m3 and (iii) daily precipitation > 100 mm; (iv) months with exceptional drought. Logistic regression models estimated the relationship between each exposure and wheezing at 6-18 months, adjusting for individual and contextual factors.

RESULTS: Wheezing prevalence in the cohort was 17.6%. The exposure to each additional heatwave in the first year of life increased wheezing risk by 16%, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.16 and a 95% Confidence Interval (CI) of 1.00;1.35. The OR for each month of extreme drought exposure was 1.10, 95%CI 0.95; 1.26. Results for wildfire PM2.5 were unclear with wider confidence intervals (OR for each high exposure day:1.36, 95% CI 0.85; 2.16). Wheezing was not associated with extreme precipitation.

CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to multiple extreme events, especially heatwaves, in the first year of life is associated with later infant respiratory health suggesting the need to implement climate change mitigation policies to protect long-term health.},
}

Humans
*Climate Change
Infant
*Respiratory Sounds
Female
Italy/epidemiology
*Environmental Exposure/statistics & numerical data/adverse effects
Male
Adult
Droughts
Particulate Matter/analysis
Wildfires
Extreme Heat/adverse effects
Infant, Newborn
Prevalence
Pregnancy
Cohort Studies

@article {pmid39983967,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, Z and Zhang, K and Peng, S and Tan, Y and Tong, J and Wang, B and Cai, H and Liu, F and Xiang, H},
title = {Climate change and air pollution can amplify vulnerability of glucose metabolism: The mediating effects of biological aging.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {121183},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.121183},
pmid = {39983967},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Climate change and air pollution pose significant global health threats, including impacts on diabetes risk; however, their long-term effects on insulin resistance (IR), a key determinant in diabetes pathophysiology, remain unclear. This study investigated whether exposure to heatwaves, temperature fluctuations, and warm-season ozone (O3) contributes to or exacerbates IR and explored the potential mediating role of biological aging. The study enrolled 6,901 participants and assessed both traditional and novel IR indicators: estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-c), metabolic score for IR (METS-IR), TyG-body mass index (TyG-BMI), TyG-waist circumference (TyG-WC), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), TyG-WHtR, and lipid accumulation product (LAP). Ordinary least squares regression models were applied to evaluate the long-lasting effects of heatwaves, temperature fluctuation, and warm-season O3 on IR, incorporating Huber-White robust standard errors for model stability. Causal mediation analysis was utilized to investigate the mediating effects of biological aging. We found that exposure to heatwaves and higher concentrations of warm-season O3 was associated with elevated IR levels, with males, smokers, drinkers, and low-income individuals being more vulnerable. Accelerated biological aging (including body age, metabolomic aging rate, etc.) could significant mediate the long-lasting effects of heatwaves and warm-season O3. Our findings suggest that climate change and air pollution could amplify the vulnerability of glucose metabolism, particularly in males, smokers, drinkers, and individuals with low-income. More importantly, our findings reveal the importance of mitigating biological aging to prevent IR in the future, as global diabetes prevalence escalates rapidly.},
}

@article {pmid39983579,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhou, W and Chen, L and Cheng, W and Li, Y and Li, T and Smith, P and Cheng, K},
title = {Synergistic effects of climate change and nitrogen use on future nitric oxide emissions from China's croplands.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124643},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124643},
pmid = {39983579},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Accurate quantification of soil nitric oxide (NO) emissions can establish a scientific foundation for developing targeted strategies to mitigate emissions, thereby reducing their environmental impact. Using a database with 476 field measurements across China, a NO emission model was constructed by employing four machine learning algorithms including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Our validation with independent observational data revealed that the XGBoost model performed the best, achieving a R[2] of 0.67. The most important management, soil, and meteorological variables affecting the NO model were mineral nitrogen input, soil organic carbon content, and air temperature, respectively. This study also found that NO emissions exhibited nonlinear responses to different variables. NO emissions from China's farmland were estimated to be approximately 204.48 kt NO-N in 2020. By 2050, we predicted that NO emissions could increase by 2.9%-9.9% under various climate change scenarios, with the highest increment of 9.9% occurring under the RCP8.5 scenario. The southern agricultural region, which was particularly vulnerable to climate change, experienced the largest increase, ranging from approximately 15%-31%. The implementation of nitrogen management strategies that are adapted to future climate conditions could potentially reduce NO emissions by 15%-16.2%.},
}

@article {pmid39983574,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, S and Nie, J and Liang, H and Zhou, G and Zhang, J and Liao, Y and Lu, Y and Tao, Y and Gao, S and Cao, W},
title = {Paddy fields can gain high productivity with low net global warming potential by utilizing green manure.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124596},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124596},
pmid = {39983574},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The use of milk vetch as winter green manure is common in paddy fields across southern China. The greenhouse effect of co-utilizing milk vetch and rice straw has not yet been reported. In this study, we investigated net greenhouse gas emissions and related environmental factors over two years based on a long-term experiment. The results showed that the application of milk vetch increased rice yields and soil productivity, especially in combination with rice straw utilization. The application of milk vetch increased annual soil carbon sequestration rate by 492 kg/ha without rice straw returning and by 1115 kg/ha with rice straw returning. Compared to rice straw returning, cumulative CO2 and N2O emissions decreased by 3.5% and 16.9%, CH4 emissions increased by 13.3%, and the net global warming potential and greenhouse gas emission intensity reduced by 2135 kg CO2-eq/ha and 0.16 kg CO2-eq/grain yield in co-utilization of milk vetch and rice straw. Compared to winter fallow, the utilization of milk vetch did not significantly increase CH4 emissions, and reduced greenhouse gas emission intensity by 0.13 kg CO2-eq/grain yield. In conclusion, the application of milk vetch mitigated net greenhouse gas emissions by increasing soil carbon sequestration, making it an effective strategy for reducing the carbon footprint and potentially contributing to broader efforts toward carbon neutrality.},
}

@article {pmid39983493,
year = {2025},
author = {Gebremedhn, H and Gebrewahid, Y and Hadgu, G and de Graaf, DC},
title = {Projecting the impacts of climate change on habitat distribution of Varroa destructor in Ethiopia using MaxEnt ecological modeling.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {968},
number = {},
pages = {178904},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178904},
pmid = {39983493},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Globally, Varroa destructor has been identified as a major drivers of honeybee colony losses. Climate change may worsen its effects by creating conducive conditions for its reproduction, although our understanding of their interaction remains limited. This study hypothesizes that climate change alters the suitable habitat for V. destructor in Ethiopia. It investigated its habitat distributions under current and future climate change scenarios (ssp126, ssp245, and ssp585) using the Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt) across the study area (1.16 million Km[2]), based on 62 occurrence points and 22 predictor variables (19 climatic, 2 topographic and 1 agroecological). Habitats were classified into five categories using natural breaks: unsuitable (<0.10), low suitability (0.10-0.28), moderate suitability (0.28-0.48), high suitability (0.48-0.69), and very high suitability (>0.69). The average AUC and TSS values were 0.908 and 0.7, respectively, indicating excellent model performance and strong agreement between observations and predictions. Under current climatic conditions, approximately 46.4 % of Ethiopia's land mass (538,046.35 km[2]) is classified as having low to very high suitability for V. destructor. The most significant factors influencing its distribution are annual temperature (43.2 %), agroecology (14.7 %), precipitation of the driest quarter (12.1 %) and annual precipitation (10.2 %). The annual temperature favorable for V. destructor incidence ranges from 5 °C to 16.5 °C, with a notable decline in incidence as temperatures increase to 30 °C. This aligns with the predicted high concentration of suitable habitats in the cool-humid and sub-humid agroecological zones. However, suitable habitats are expected to decline under future climatic conditions. Under ssp585, suitable habitat for V. destructor is projected to decline by 13.72 % by the 2030s and by 31.66 % by the 2090s. Overall, under current and future climate conditions, suitable habitats are concentrated in the cool-humid and sub-humid agroecological zones. Therefore, research and management interventions should target these areas to contain the mite's spread and impact.},
}

@article {pmid39982052,
year = {2025},
author = {Parzniewski, S and Fackelmann, E and Ru, S and Breen, K and Wu, H},
title = {Climate Change-Related Risks of Gender-Based Violence (GBV) Among 2SLGBTQIA+ University Students and Emergent Adults: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {Journal of homosexuality},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-25},
doi = {10.1080/00918369.2025.2465417},
pmid = {39982052},
issn = {1540-3602},
abstract = {A scoping review was conducted using international databases, including Web of Science, Scopus, ProQuest, PubMed, Embase, and EBSCOhost, covering studies since 2009. Sixty-three articles focusing on gender-based violence (GBV) among 2SLGBTQIA+ university students and emergent adults were analyzed, incorporating climate change-related vulnerabilities that exacerbate GBV risks for marginalized students. Key factors were categorized into bullying, violence, and victimization; intersectionality; lack of awareness; disclosure of violence; and well-being and mental health implications. The findings reveal that discrimination, lack of support, and structural inequalities heighten vulnerability to GBV, compounded by climate-induced stressors such as displacement and resource scarcity. Practical implications include integrating intersectional approaches, tailored mental health support, climate resilience strategies, and anti-discrimination training into institutional policies, while public policy should strengthen safety nets, improve housing and healthcare access, and address compounded risks for marginalized groups during climate crises. Social work should prioritize culturally competent, trauma-informed interventions and foster community resilience. The study identifies critical research gaps, emphasizing the need to expand beyond US-focused studies to explore global intersections of GBV, climate change, and marginalized identities. These findings underscore the urgency of comprehensive strategies to mitigate GBV risks and enhance resilience for 2SLGBTQIA+ students.},
}